Solar and Wind Data Recognition: Fourier Regression for Robust Recovery

Abstract

Accurate prediction of renewable energy output is essential for integrating sustainable energy sources into the grid, facilitating a transition towards a more resilient energy infrastructure. Novel applications of machine learning and artificial intelligence are being leveraged to enhance forecasting methodologies, enabling more accurate predictions and optimized decision-making capabilities. Integrating these novel paradigms improves forecasting accuracy, fostering a more efficient and reliable energy grid. These advancements allow better demand management, optimize resource allocation, and improve robustness to potential disruptions. The data collected from solar intensity and wind speed is often recorded through sensor-equipped instruments, which may encounter intermittent or permanent faults. Hence, this paper proposes a novel Fourier network regression model to process solar irradiance and wind speed data. The proposed approach enables accurate prediction of the underlying smooth components, facilitating effective reconstruction of missing data and enhancing the overall forecasting performance. The present study focuses on Midland, Texas, as a case study to assess direct normal irradiance (DNI), diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI), and wind speed. Remarkably, the model exhibits a correlation of 1 with a minimal RMSE (root mean square error) of 0.0007555. This study leverages Fourier analysis for renewable energy applications, with the aim of establishing a methodology that can be applied to a novel geographic context.