“…However, such consequences can be strongly mitigated if those events are -to some extent -known in advance (PateCornell, 2002;Paté-Cornell, 2012). The importance of knowledge as a means for avoiding surprise and unexpected events is testified by the large number of works emerging on the subject in recent years (Terje Aven, 2015Terje Aven & Krohn, 2014;Cavalcante, Oriá, Sornette, Ott, & Gauthier, 2013;Sornette, 2009;Sornette, Maillart, & Kröger, 2013;Turati et al, 2016a;Zio, 2016b).…”