Sometimes You Just Have to Leave: Domestic Threats and Forced Migration, 1964-1989

Davenport, Christian; Moore, Will H.; Poe, Steven C.

doi:10.3886/icpsr01288.v1

Cited by 88 publications

(247 citation statements)

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“…Studies have also found that there are distinct differences in the magnitude of movement from civil wars, international wars, genocides, politicides, and human rights violations (Davenport et al, 2003;Gibney et al, 1996;Melander and Ö berg, 2006;Moore and Shellman, 2004;Schmeidl, 1997;Zolberg et al, 1989;Weiner, 1996).…”

Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Civil war has the largest impact on migration, followed by genocide/politicide. Structural character and change in a polity have lesser effects on forced migrations (Moore and Shellman, 2004;Davenport et al, 2003).…”

Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Episodes of genocide/politicide, protest events by dissidents, civil war, and shifts in a state's political structure (e.g. democratic to autocratic shifts) are all positively related to the overall stock of displaced persons (Davenport et al, 2003). Civil war has the largest impact on migration, followed by genocide/politicide.…”

Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The search for safety: The effects of conflict, poverty and ecological influences on migration in the developing world

Raleigh

2011

Global Environmental Change

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Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 96%

Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: National Level Studies Of Conflict-migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The search for safety: The effects of conflict, poverty and ecological influences on migration in the developing world

Raleigh

2011

Global Environmental Change

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“…While the level of threat is assumed to vary according to circumstances, previous studies treat the costs and benefits for relocating as being equal for all individuals (Schmeidl, 1997;Moore and Shellman, 2004;Davenport et al, 2003). Our aim in this study is to explore the consequences instead of assuming that different people have different costs and benefits for relocating.…”

mentioning

confidence: 95%

Time to Go? Duration Dependence in Forced Migration

Melander

Öberg

2006

International Interactions

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In this paper we introduce some theoretical and methodological refinements to account for effects of duration dependence in forced migration flows that have not been noticed in previous research. The engine of previous theoretical arguments on forced migration has been a decision theoretic model in which the potential migrants estimate the threat to their security and then weigh this threat against costs and benefits of leaving. Moreover, in previous arguments and empirical tests the costs and benefits for relocating have been treated as being the same for all people in a country. We relax this assumption, allowing the costs and benefits of relocating to be different for different individuals. This implies that some people more readily relocate than others. Over time this generates a selection effect in the population that remains behind, such that the remaining population will become increasingly unwilling or unable to relocate. The implications of our theoretical refinement are borne out empirically. Contrary to previous research we find that the accumulated stock of forced migrants decrease rather than increase the probability of new migration. Furthermore, we find that forced migrant flows abate rather than soar over time.The decision to flee one's home from fear of war and persecution must undoubtedly be one of the hardest to make. It means abandoning almost everything that is dear and familiar for the hardships, uncertainties, and dangers that typically confront a refugee. When do people opt for this drastic The authors would like to thank Mats Hammarström and two anonymous referees for helpful comments and Tarek Abou Chabake for providing UNHCR data. Replication data and do-files can be downloaded from

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“…Over the last quarter of the Twentieth century, nearly three such conflicts occurred per year, at a total loss of nearly nine million lives (Sarkees, Wyman and Singer, 2003, p. 65). 7 Intrastate conflicts, particularly in violent form, tend to contribute substantially to the turbulence in international politics, resulting often in large migration flows that create additional ethnic conflicts (Davenport, Moore, and Poe, 2003;Ben-Yehuda and Mishali-Ram, 2003), militarized interstate disputes, and occasionally interstate wars (Davies, 2002). As such, they should be a major concern for the G7 and its members.…”

Section: The G7 and Threats To The International Status Quomentioning

confidence: 98%

The G7, International Terrorism and Domestic Politics: Modeling Policy Cohesion in Response to Systemic Disturbance

Volgy

Kanthak

Ingersoll

et al. 2004

International Interactions

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Sometimes You Just Have to Leave: Domestic Threats and Forced Migration, 1964-1989

Cited by 88 publications

References 0 publications

The search for safety: The effects of conflict, poverty and ecological influences on migration in the developing world

The search for safety: The effects of conflict, poverty and ecological influences on migration in the developing world

Time to Go? Duration Dependence in Forced Migration

The G7, International Terrorism and Domestic Politics: Modeling Policy Cohesion in Response to Systemic Disturbance

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