Space mission scenario development and performance analysis tool

Kordon, M.; Baker, John D.; Gilbert, John B.; Hanks, D.

doi:10.1109/aero.2005.1559748

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

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“…Most of these studies involved stakeholders in the SD process. SD also have a history in context of social-technical dimensions of human-machine interactions and complex systems development (Funabashi et al, 2005, Woods et al, 2006, Yomo et al, 2015, especially with application in the military (Prasolova-Førland et al, 2013, Urwin et al, 2011, Xinye et al, 2012, Yuan Kwei et al, 2009) and spaceflight (Bolton et al, 2013, Fragola et al, 1994, Kordon et al, 2005 domain.…”

Section: History and Applicationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring scenario development – a case study of two collaborative research projects

Fossum

Aarseth

Andersen

2019

IJMPB

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Purpose -The paper explores scenario development (SD) as a method for engaging known challenges in collaborative research projects, i.e. SD is the construct under investigation.Design/methodology/approach -Criticism of the dominant, rational approach to project management (PM) and its underlying hypotheses highlights a considerable PM research gap for research projects (research problem). We undertake a six-step constructive research approach to investigate if SD (the construct) constitutes a fruitful method to support the management of collaborative research projects. A two-part literature review summarizes known challenges in collaborative research projects and introduces the history and application of SD methodology. The work includes participatory action research (PAR) in two case studies, constituting a qualitative research method.Findings -We found the SD method to be useful for structuring and analysing intuitive project processes. However, using SD in the management of single projects presents some fundamental challenges. SD, like PM, struggles with issues related to myopic decisions, a "predict and provide" attitude with clear aspects of path dependency in the project front-end as well as inconsistent and/or missing identification of success criteria among different stakeholders.Research limitations/implications -This paper does not provide any comprehensive, normative account of scenario techniques or compare SD with other foresight and future studies methods. Although PAR is in itself a research method that demands systematic description and execution, the focus of this paper is the overall constructive research approach.Practical implications -The paper offers a broadened repertoire of methods to describe and analyse project stakeholder situations (collaborative aspects) and to structure and balance the need for both rational and intuitive project processes (research aspects). The SD method also supports development of graphical storylines and facilitates the use of influence diagrams, event trees and cost/benefit analysis.Originality/value -Although PM literature contains several references to SD, the practical application of SD at single-project level has, to our knowledge, never been described in the PM literature.

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