Spatial analysis of the spread of Covid-19 and its demographic consequences in the regions of the South of European Russia

Тикунов, В.С.; Belozerov, Vitaly; Shchitova, Natalia; Sopnev, Nikolai

doi:10.3897/popecon.6.e97380

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 22 publications

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“…Высокая доля заболевших COVID-19 в регионах с высокой численностью городского населения (городских конгломератах) подтверждена в проведенном нами анализе и ряде других исследований [6,7]. К мысли об определяющей роли урбанизации приходят и авторы анализа распространенности COVID-19 в ряде регионов РФ [8]. Соглашаясь с ведущей ролью урбанизации в контексте пандемии, сельское население, по нашим данным, болело COVID-19 реже горожан, но существенно тяжелее: госпитализированные сельские жители нуждались в ИВЛ в ~2 раза чаще, чем горожане.…”

Section: Discussionunclassified

Proportion of COVID-19 survivors in 2020-2022 in the Russian population (according to the ESSE-RF3 study)

Muromtseva,

Shalnova,

Kutsenko

et al. 2023

Cardiovasc Ther Prev

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Aim. To study the proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survivors and hospitalization cases of the Russian population for the period 2020-2022, depending on socio-demographic characteristics.Material and methods. The work was performed on random samples of the population aged 35-74 years from 15 regions participating in the Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Diseases and their Risk Factors in Regions of Russian Federation-3 (ESSE-RF3) study. The examination was carried out from February 2020 to March-April 2022 (n=28718, 47% men).Results. According to a survey of sample participants, the proportion of respondents who had COVID-19 by the spring of 2022 among all surveyed was 26,0%. Among 45-54-year-old respondents, this parameter was maximum (28,0%), while among those aged 65-74-year-old — minimal (22,3%). The following categories of people were more likely to have COVID-19: women (27,9 vs 23,9% of men, p<0,001), persons with higher education (30 vs 22,6% persons without higher education, p<0,001), persons with high income (30,0 vs 24,3% low-income, p=0,002), persons with family (26,6 vs 24,8% single, p<0,001), employed persons (28,4 vs 21,7% non-employed, p<0,001), as well as those living in urban areas (26,5 vs 24,5% country people, p=0,003). But those less likely to have COVID-19 (men, people without higher education, low-income, single, unemployed or rural residents) had more severe disease course. The following categories of people had higher hospitalization rates: men (26,0 vs 20,9% women, p<0,001), patients without higher education (27,1 vs 19,6% those with higher education, p<0,001), non-employed (34,3 vs 18,4% workers), p<0,001) and rural residents (27,2 vs 22,0% of city residents, p<0,001). Hospitalization rate was not associated with the level of income and marital status. However, low-income and single people were more likely to require mechanical ventilation.Conclusion. The results obtained by survey reflect the following population data: the proportion of patients after COVID-19, hospitalization rate and the development of severe acute respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation among Russians for the period 2020-2022. This can complement the population data demonstrated by state statistics. Special attention from the healthcare system, both during treatment and prevention of COVID-19, requires males, people aged ≥65 years, low-income people, single people (widowers, divorced), unemployed people (pensioners, disabled people, nonemployed), rural residents and people without higher education.

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Section: Discussionunclassified

Proportion of COVID-19 survivors in 2020-2022 in the Russian population (according to the ESSE-RF3 study)

Muromtseva,

Shalnova,

Kutsenko

et al. 2023

Cardiovasc Ther Prev

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Metropolization process in the rural settlement system of the Central Chernozem region of Russia

Chugunova,

Lisetskii,

Narozhnyaya

et al. 2024

GES

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The Central Chernozem region of Russia has undergone significant changes in socio-demographic processes over the past half-century. The aim of this study was to establish the impact of metropolization on the demographic transformation of sparsely populated rural settlements for the Central Chernozem region and to develop a demographic forecast for 2030. The study’s goals were to (1) determine the scale of regional metropolises; (2) identify the impact of metropolization on the quantitative indicators of sparsely populated rural settlements; (3) establish trends in their transformation; and (4) compile a medium-term demographic forecast for the Central Chernozem region. The set objectives were achieved by integrating methods for spatial-temporal and comparative geographical analysis, statistical methods, and a combination of official statistics with sociological methods. Analysis of the level of urbanization of the regions in modern conditions (20th and 21st centuries) showed that, although this process was and remained below the national average, it did not prevent the formation of regional metropolises (Belgorod, Stary Oskol, Kursk, Voronezh, Lipetsk, Tambov) as an obvious outcome of urbanization processes. A regional pattern of degradation of the network of rural settlements, mainly the smallest and small in terms of population (1-25, 26-50 people), which make up over one third of all settlements in the Central Chernozem region of Russia, was determined. A stable long-term trend of growth in the number of abandoned villages and hamlets was established. Between the last two All-Russian population censuses (11 years), their number increased by 45%. The forecasting results obtained confirm the established patterns in the medium-term trend of “compression” of rural settlement around regional metropolis (with some exceptions). The medium-term demographic forecast showed that population concentration in metropolitan areas and further socio-demographic desertification in peripheral areas will continue with growing territorial differentiation. The obtained results of the study of the transformation of settlement systems of the Central Chernozem region as a result of the metropolization of regional centers can help government institutions in strategic planning of territorial development.

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Spatial analysis of the spread of Covid-19 and its demographic consequences in the regions of the South of European Russia

Cited by 2 publications

References 22 publications

Proportion of COVID-19 survivors in 2020-2022 in the Russian population (according to the ESSE-RF3 study)

Proportion of COVID-19 survivors in 2020-2022 in the Russian population (according to the ESSE-RF3 study)

Metropolization process in the rural settlement system of the Central Chernozem region of Russia

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