Climate change is expected to have significant influences on terrestrial biodiversity at 21all system levels, including species-level reductions in range size and abundance, 22 especially amongst endemic species 1-6 . However, little is known about how mitigation of 23 greenhouse gas emissions could reduce biodiversity impacts, particularly amongst 24 common and widespread species. Our global analysis of future climatic range change of 25 common and widespread species shows that without mitigation, 57±6% of plants and 26
adaptation. 34The IPCC 3 estimates that 20-30% of species would be at increasingly high risk of 35 extinction if global temperature rise exceeds 2-3°C above pre-industrial levels. However, 36 since quantitative assessments of the benefits of mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss are 37 lacking, we know little about how much of the impacts can be offset by reductions in 38 greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, despite the large number of studies addressing 39 extinction risks in particular species groups, we know little about the broader issue of 40 potential range loss in common and widespread species, which is of serious concern as even 41 small declines in such species can significantly disrupt ecosystem structure, function and 42 services 7 . 43Here we quantify the benefits of mitigation in terms of reduced climatic range losses 44 in common and widespread species, and determine the time early mitigation action can "buy" 45 3 for adaptation. In particular, we provide (i) a comprehensive analysis of potential climatic 46 range changes for 48,786 animal and plant species across the globe, using the same set of 47 global climate change scenarios for all species; and (ii) a direct comparison of projected 48 levels of potential climate change impacts on the climatic ranges of species in six 21 st century 49 mitigation scenarios, including a 'no policy' baseline scenario in which emissions continue to 50 rise unabated (Fig. 1, Table 1). To calculate the climatic range changes, we employed 51MaxEnt, one of the most robust bioclimatic modelling approaches for cases where only 52 presence data (as opposed to presence-absence) are available 8 . MaxEnt models the 53 probability of a species' presence, conditioned on environment 8 so that in this paper 'climatic 54 range change' specifically refers to the change in the modelled probability of a species' 55 occurrence, conditioned on climatic variables. Eighty percent of the species studied have 56 climatic ranges in excess of 30,000 km 2 , which is the range size used by Bird Life 57International to delineate 'restricted range species', whilst less than 7% have ranges 58 occupying less than 20,000 km 2 ( Supplementary Fig. S1). Our study therefore focuses on 59 quantifying the effects on widespread species, which are in general more common and less 60 likely to become extinct than restricted range species 9 , in contrast to previous studies that 61 have only speculated that there may be effects such species [1][2][3][4][5][6] . In projecting future...