Spring thermal resources for grapevine in Kőszeg (Hungary) deduced from a very long pictorial time series (1740–2009)

Parisi, Simone; Antoniazzi, Moreno Mauro; Cola, Gabriele; Lovat, Lorenzo; Mariani, Luigi; Morreale, Giacomo; Kiss, Zoltan; Calò, Antonio

doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1220-2

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 25 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.) is a perennial plant with an annual cycle that is highly dependent on environmental conditions (Parisi et al, 2014). Among them, air temperature represents a central factor for the cultivation of grapevines.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change is implicating a two-fold impact on air temperature increase in the ripening period under the conditions of the Luxembourgish grapegrowing region

Molitor

Junk

2019

OENO One

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Aim: Grape (Vitis vinifera L.) phenology is mainly temperature-driven. Consequently, the shift in thermal conditions due to climate change is supposed to have a distinct influence on grape phenology, grape maturity and wine typicity. This study aims to investigate (i) the future phenological development, as well as (ii) the consequences on the temperature conditions in specific phenophases under the conditions of the Luxembourg grapegrowing region.Methods and Results: A budburst model and a phenological model were combined with an ensemble of ten regional climate change projections for Luxembourg. Analyses comparing four 30-year time spans (reference period: 1971-2000; present: 2001-2030; near future: 2031-2060; far future: 2061-2090) demonstrated that each of the 27 phenological stages according to BBCH code is projected to be reached significantly earlier than in the reference period. According to these projections, the length of phenophases at the early stages is not affected, whereas the ripening period length is significantly shortened. The air temperature increase in the ripening period (far future compared to reference period: + 4.6 °C to + 5.3 °C) is projected to be markedly higher than in the annual averages (+ 2.6 °C).Conclusions: Since (i) air temperatures are generally projected to increase in the future and (ii) the ripening period will take place earlier (usually in the warmer parts of the season), climate change is implicating a two-fold impact on air temperature increase in the ripening period.Significance and impact of the study: This two-fold impact potentially threatens the wine typicity of the traditional grapegrowing regions and therefore calls for specific adaptation strategies.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change is implicating a two-fold impact on air temperature increase in the ripening period under the conditions of the Luxembourgish grapegrowing region

Molitor

Junk

2019

OENO One

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Interestingly, neither of the BPs found by the two methods (CE & CPM; Table 7) match those reported by Parisi et al [59], which raises concerns about their interpretations. However, it should be noted that the datasets used [59] di ered slightly from that used in the present study.…”

Section: Real-life Applications Application To a Historical Temperamentioning

confidence: 54%

“…This would have been a less risky approach if they had omitted either the previous part to their presumed BP or the subsequent part, and/or, preferably, if they had determined the BP in an objective way. The time series was recently reassessed [59], restricting the analysis to only the Burgundy braches -which raises questions not within the scope of the present paper -and determined three BPs (1780; 1820; 1929) using the Bai and Perron multiple breakpoint test [60]. These were subsequently attributed to changes in cultivation/species etc.…”

Section: Real-life Applications Application To a Historical Temperamentioning

confidence: 96%

“…However, it should be noted that the datasets used [59] di ered slightly from that used in the present study. Parisi et al [59] re-measured the pictures in the 'Book of Vine sprouts', while we used the data published by Střeštík & Verő [58] and omitted the values before 1788, so no gaps would occur.…”

Section: Real-life Applications Application To a Historical Temperamentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Detecting breakpoints in artificially modified- and real-life time series using three state-of-the-art methods

et al. 2016

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Time series often contain breakpoints of di erent origin, i.e. breakpoints, caused by (i) shifts in trend, (ii) other changes in trend and/or, (iii) changes in variance. In the present study, arti cially generated time series with white and red noise structures are analyzed using three recently developed breakpoint detection methods. The time series are modi ed so that the exact "locations" of the arti cial breakpoints are prescribed, making it possible to evaluate the methods exactly. Hence, the study provides a deeper insight into the behaviour of the three di erent breakpoint detection methods. Utilizing this experience can help solving breakpoint detection problems in reallife data sets, as is demonstrated with two examples taken from the elds of paleoclimate research and petrology.

show abstract

Grapevine phenology and climate change in Georgia

Cola

Failla

Maghradze³

et al. 2016

Int J Biometeorol

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

While the climate of Western Europe has been deeply affected by the abrupt climate change that took place in the late '1980s of the twentieth century, a similar signal is detected only few years later, in 1994, in Georgia. Grapevine phenology is deeply influenced by climate and this paper aimed to analyze how phenological timing changed before and after the climatic change of 1994. Availability of thermal resources in the two climatic phases for the five altitudinal belts in the 0-1250-m range was analyzed. A phenological dataset gathered in two experimental sites during the period 2012-2014, and a suitable thermal dataset was used to calibrate a phenological model based on the normal approach and able to describe BBCH phenological stages 61 (beginning of flowering), 71 (fruit set), and 81 (veraison). Calibration was performed for four relevant Georgian varieties (Mtsvane Kakhuri, Rkatsiteli, Ojaleshi, and Saperavi). The model validation was performed on an independent 3-year dataset gathered in Gorizia (Italy). Furthermore, in the case of variety Rkatsiteli, the model was applied to the 1974-2013 thermal time series in order to obtain phenological maps of the Georgian territory. Results show that after the climate change of 1994, Rkatsiteli showed an advance, more relevant at higher altitudes where the whole increase of thermal resource was effectively translated in phenological advance. For instance the average advance of veraison was 5.9 days for 250-500 m asl belt and 18.1 days for 750-1000 m asl). On the other hand, at lower altitudes, phenological advance was depleted by superoptimal temperatures. As a final result, some suggestions for the adaptation of viticultural practices to the current climatic phase are provided.

show abstract

Spring thermal resources for grapevine in Kőszeg (Hungary) deduced from a very long pictorial time series (1740–2009)

Cited by 6 publications

References 25 publications

Climate change is implicating a two-fold impact on air temperature increase in the ripening period under the conditions of the Luxembourgish grapegrowing region

Climate change is implicating a two-fold impact on air temperature increase in the ripening period under the conditions of the Luxembourgish grapegrowing region

Detecting breakpoints in artificially modified- and real-life time series using three state-of-the-art methods

Grapevine phenology and climate change in Georgia

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About