Statistical and Forecasting Analysis of the Development of Technical Infrastructure in the Vicinity of Airports in Poland

Abstract

Research in the field of infrastructural development has attracted quite a lot of interest. A significant part of them concerns the regions of the European Union. However, in the European literature definitely lacks positions in which technical infrastructure is analyzed in catchment areas of airports in Poland. The lack of literature items concerning the infrastructural development of districts located in the overlapping areas of influence of at least two ports is particularly noticeable. The author decided to fill this gap by conducting research, a fragment of which is presented in the text. However, bearing in mind the fact that the development of airports and their accompanying infrastructure causes gradual transformations in the degree of spatial development. Undertaking research on the proposed topic seems particularly important. The main objective was to carry out a prognostic and statistical comparative analysis of the degree of infrastructural development of districts located in the areas of airports in Poland for years 2002-2021. Due to the limited framework of the study, the presented results are only selected. They will apply only to districts located in the catchment areas of the three ports. The medium-term rate of change method was chosen as a forecasting tool.

A Quantitative Picture of the Diversity of Technical Infrastructure in the Catchment Areas of Airports in Poland

“…During the research, a statistical assessment was made of the level of infrastructure development in counties located in the three studied isochrones. In the last et al (2018) or Surówka (2023) or Kałuża-Jurczyńska et al (2021)). During the analysis of the isochrones covered by the study, it was observed, among other things, that the studied units are characterized by statistically significant differences.…”

“…Many methods are used for forecasting. In the practical part, the medium-term rate of change method was used (Surówka, 2023). Forecasts using this method are made using the following formulas:…”

“…Forecast of the length of the distribution network in counties located in the impact area of theWrocław -Strachowice Airport (2021-2023 area of influence of the Bydgoszcz Szwederowo Airport) in the following districts: lipnowski and tucholski. The development strategy of the lipnowski district contains information that the availability of network devices and universal access to the infrastructure of the area has a huge impact on decisions made regarding the location of both residential construction and projects related to the construction/expansion of industrial investments (Strategia Obszaru Rozwoju Społeczno -Gospodarczego Powiatu Lipnowskiego).…”

“…Forecast of the length of the distribution network in counties located in the influence areas of thePoznań-Ławica Airport (2021-2023 …”