Study on early Warning Mechanism of Water Resources Security

Abstract

Early warning system of water resources security is a multi-level and complex system made of many factors. By analyzing current situation of water resources security early warning, operating mechanism of water resources security early warning system is put forward. Logic, time and knowledge related to operating mechanism are discussed. For early warning threshold decision is one of key technologies in water resources security early warning, warning threshold decision and warning degree classification of water resources security early warning are set forth. These methods are systematic method, control chart method, catastrophe theory method and expert decision method. Adopting the water resources security early warning system, situation can be analyzed and predicted promptly and effectively.