Substitution Effects in Supply Chains with Asymmetric Information Distribution and Upstream Competition

Abstract

Inventory management in markets with substituting customers is extremely challenging, not only for a downstream wholesaler, but also for upstream manufacturers.Motivated by the structures in the agrochemical market, we analyze the optimal production and stocking quantities of a manufacturer and a wholesaler, respectively, in a two-stage supply chain with upstream competition and vertical information asymmetries. We characterize a monopolistic wholesaler's optimal stocking quantities and show that these quantities are not necessarily monotonic, neither in the available production quantities nor in the customers' substitution rates. We further derive the optimal production quantities of a monopolistic and a competitive manufacturer when they are incompletely informed about the wholesaler's stocking quantities. We find that the introduction of competition may lead to decreasing production quantities for some products. Furthermore, a product's end-of-season inventories at the manufacturer which arise due to information asymmetries may decrease even when initial production levels increase.