System Dynamics Modelling for Increasing of Paddy Production with Land Suitability Level to Support Food Security

Abstract

Increasing the population of the population increased demand for agricultural production, so this has an impact on reducing the use of agricultural land. Identification of land suitability is important so that there is an evaluation of land use to increase land productivity now and in the future. the purpose of this study is to evaluate the suitability of agriculture land to increase the production of paddy harvest on each paddy field with physical constraints. therefore, that it can help the stakeholder of agriculture land to take sustainable strategic decision making. Therefore, dynamic system modeling is applied to analyze the level of land suitability for paddy based on plant requirements, quality and land characteristics. This study can be used as a condition forecast that develops a system dynamics model to learn about future patterns of change in land use management that can support multi-purpose analysis of the objectives for optimal agricultural productivity concerning food security.

Simulation of System Dynamics for Improving The Quality of Paddy Production in Supporting Food Security

“…Rice (Oryza Sativa) is a staple food crop in several developing countries. As the population increases, it will affect the fulfillment of food which also increases [4]. The product of rice farming is a material that is easily damaged, so it requires fast and precise handling.…”

“…INTRODUCTION The ability of a country to guarantee the availability of food and the easy access of the people to food in a stable manner is the notion of food security [1]. Rice is the most important crop in the world because it serves to meet the world's food needs [2]- [4]. The majority of rice is consumed as a staple food for most of the world's population, especially in developing countries [5].…”

“…The food crop sector is affected by interrelated factors, such as climate change [4], [9], increasing population [10], land conversion agriculture [3], natural disasters [11], and extreme changes in rainfall patterns and climate in several regions [2]. The food and agricultural systems have a predominant feedback complexity structure with test-based robust systems and integrated solutions [12].…”

Performance fuzzy analytical hierarchy process to identify drought areas for disaster mitigation

“…On the other hand, some drought-prone areas highly depend on rainfall frequency [6]. Drought may cause limited water resources [6] which bring social and economic effects [7], agricultural crop failure [8]- [12], and an increase in food costs [7].…”

GIS Flood Prone Agricultural Land East Java Using Multi-Method Attribute Utility Theory

“…The agricultural sector must continue to develop so that it remains a force in determining food security, driving economic growth, and a healthy economy [1,2]. The agricultural system in East Java is influenced by many interacting factors, including climate change [1,3,4], population growth [1][2][3], and flood [2], [5][6][7]. East Java has regional conditions that include lowlands, rivers, mountains, and high rainfall in certain seasons.…”