Tablas de mortalidad de Ecuador continental mediante un análisis de supervivencia

Vera, Francisco; Solórzano, Mario; Ochoa, Gina; García-Bustos, Sandra; Cevallos, Solange

doi:10.22185/24487147.2018.97.25

Cited by 21 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…With this background, the statements made by UN and ECLAC (2011) and Vera et al (2019) were corroborated. Due to the problems found in the infant mortality records of the data from Ecuador, it is not possible to design control charts with these data for phase II of statistical control.…”

Section: Ewma Charts For Pearson Residuals For Death Data Of Rural Bo...mentioning

confidence: 67%

“…However, due to the nature of the data in this work, where the monitoring is annual, the chart design was developed considering an ARL 0 of 20 (1/α), approximately a value of significance, α= 0.05. Previously, smaller values of α similar to those used in the design of control charts for industry were tested; however, with these values no problems were detected with mortality in the rural areas, which is not entirely true because in countries like Ecuador there are problems in the mortality registers (Vera et al , 2019).…”

Section: Models Fitted To the Number Of Deaths Per Year For Children ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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A control chart based on Pearson residuals for a negative binomial regression: application to infant mortality data

García-Bustos

Cárdenas-Escobar

Debón

et al. 2021

IJQRM

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PurposeThe study aims to design a control chart based on an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart of Pearson's residuals of a model of negative binomial regression in order to detect possible anomalies in mortality data.Design/methodology/approachIn order to evaluate the performance of the proposed chart, the authors have considered official historical records of death of children of Ecuador. A negative binomial regression model was fitted to the data, and a chart of the Pearson residuals was designed. The parameters of the chart were obtained by simulation, as well as the performances of the charts related to changes in the mean of death.FindingsWhen the chart was plotted, outliers were detected in the deaths of children in the years 1990–1995, 2001–2006, 2013–2015, which could show that there are underreporting or an excessive growth in mortality. In the analysis of performances, the value of λ = 0.05 presented the fastest detection of changes in the mean death.Originality/valueThe proposed charts present better performances in relation to EWMA charts for deviance residuals, with a remarkable advantage of the Pearson residuals, which are much easier to interpret and calculate. Finally, the authors would like to point out that although this paper only applies control charts to Ecuadorian infant mortality, the methodology can be used to calculate mortality in any geographical area or to detect outbreaks of infectious diseases.

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Section: Ewma Charts For Pearson Residuals For Death Data Of Rural Bo...mentioning

confidence: 67%

Section: Models Fitted To the Number Of Deaths Per Year For Children ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

A control chart based on Pearson residuals for a negative binomial regression: application to infant mortality data

García-Bustos

Cárdenas-Escobar

Debón

et al. 2021

IJQRM

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show abstract

“…Although the control charts proposed in this study have applicability in health, services, or industry, among others, developing countries such as Ecuador have problems of underreporting in mortality and morbidity data. 34 These records are obtained in uncertain processes, that is, it is not known if the counting measurement is correct. Neutorsophical statistics has been used for the development of new control charts when there is indeterminacy in the measurement.…”

Section: Limitations and Future Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Control charts for health surveillance based on residuals of negative binomial regression

García-Bustos

Zambrano

2022

Quality & Reliability Eng

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This research presents control charts based on one‐sided exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts of Pearson, studentized Pearson, Deviance, and Studentized Deviance residuals for a negative binomial regression in order to detect increases in count quality variables used in health surveillance. Data of weekly dengue cases for the year 2018 from the coast of Ecuador were used for the design of control charts in phase I because in that year the weather conditions were normal, while dengue cases in 2019 were used for phase II of control. The control charts detected an increase in the weekly cases of dengue during 2019, a year in which the phenomenon of the Niño was present. In this study by simulations, it is shown that the smallest lambda values have a faster speed in detecting changes. If the objective is greater sensitivity, using studentized residuals is better, but if we seek simplicity and interpretation, Pearson residuals can be used.

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“…La Organización Mundial de la Salud (2022) pronostica que entre los años 2015 y 2050, el número de habitantes mayores de 60 años será casi duplicado, alcanzando cifras que ascenderían del 12 al 22%. En consideración con las previsiones demográficas planteadas por la Secretaría Nacional de Planificación y Desarrollo (2008), para el año 2025 en Ecuador, la esperanza de vida al nacer se incrementará acercándose a cifras aproximadas de 77,5 años, fenómeno que también fue estudiado por Vera et al (2018), mediante un análisis de supervivencia con la aplicación del método clásico actuarial y el método de Swanson, encontrando que la esperanza de vida al nacer de los habitantes de Ecuador continental estará entre 77,7 -77,9 años. Novo et al (2022), plantean que la independencia de un individuo está dada por la competencia que este tenga para realizar sus actividades de la vida diaria y su autocuidado, sin que para esto medie la acción o ayuda de otra persona.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Evaluación del nivel de independencia para la realización de actividades instrumentales de la vida diaria en una comunidad de personas vulnerables

Plana

Cadme

Medina

et al. 2023

Cad. Bras. Ter. Ocup.

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Resumen Introducción Los cambios o deficiencias estructurales y/o funcionales que presentan las personas con discapacidad pueden limitar o comprometer su interacción, para la realización o el cumplimiento de actividades personales o sociales, convirtiéndolas entonces en personas vulnerables. Para la evaluación, el terapeuta ocupacional debe valorar varios factores que pueden ser considerados como riesgo de mayor vulnerabilidad como: edad, género, nivel educacional, condiciones económicas, ocupación, condición física o mental y presencia de comorbilidades entre otras. Objetivo Evaluar nivel de independencia para la realización de actividades instrumentales de la vida diaria (AIVD) en individuos pertenecientes a una comunidad de personas vulnerables. Método Se aplicó el Índice de Lawton y Brody en adultos y adultos mayores, que tenían o referían algún tipo de discapacidad, recolectando además una serie de datos que fueron procesados y analizados en la plantilla de cálculo en Microsoft Excel 2020®. Resultados El 74,2% mostró un elevado nivel de dependencia para desarrollar las AIVD, con predominio en adultos. El 70,7% poseían carné o certificado de discapacidad, con una correlación negativa moderada entre el porcentaje de gravedad y el nivel de independencia. La artritis reumatoidea fue la enfermedad que con mayor frecuencia estuvo vinculada a la perdida de la independencia. Conclusión Resulta posible detectar tempranamente el nivel de dependencia y la presencia de discapacidad, mediante la aplicación del Índice de Lawton y Brody, determinando limitaciones funcionales para realizar AIVD en una comunidad de personas vulnerables.

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Tablas de mortalidad de Ecuador continental mediante un análisis de supervivencia

Cited by 21 publications

References 4 publications

A control chart based on Pearson residuals for a negative binomial regression: application to infant mortality data

A control chart based on Pearson residuals for a negative binomial regression: application to infant mortality data

Control charts for health surveillance based on residuals of negative binomial regression

Evaluación del nivel de independencia para la realización de actividades instrumentales de la vida diaria en una comunidad de personas vulnerables

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