The Automobilization Process and Its Determining Factors in the Past, Present, and Future

Ksenofontov, M. Yu.; Milyakin, S. R.

doi:10.1134/s107570071804010x

Cited by 9 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…This means that overall walking, and incidental walking particularly, are likely to contribute significantly to mobility. Similarly, as income rises trip-making and motorised trip-making also increases (Ksenofontov & Milyakin, 2018 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Walking for transportation in large Latin American cities: walking-only trips and total walking events and their sociodemographic correlates

et al. 2021

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Walking for transportation in large Latin American cities: walking-only trips and total walking events and their sociodemographic correlates

et al. 2021

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“…In Russia, measures to reduce the role of automobiles were only carried out in megacities such as Moscow and Saint Petersburg, while in most largeand medium-sized cities, personal transport remains the most important means of transportation for the general population (Engel 2007;Ryzkov and Zyuzin 2016;Ksenofontov and Milyakin 2018). This is largely due to the socio-economic and climatic peculiarities of Russia.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pollution status and human health risk assessment of potentially toxic elements and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in urban street dust of Tyumen city, Russia

Konstantinova

Minkina

Konstantinov

et al. 2020

Environ Geochem Health

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This study investigated levels and sources of pollution and potential health risks associated with potentially toxic elements (PTEs) and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in urban street dust collected from Tyumen city, a large transport centre with one of the highest motorization rates in Russia. Twenty street dust samples were collected from four grades of roads in five different land use areas.Research methods included measurements of physical and chemical properties of street dust, concentrations of 18 PTEs using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, 12 PAHs using high-performance liquid chromatography, and statistical analysis of the data. Concentrations of Ni, Cr, Sb, and Mo, as well as medium and high molecular weight PAHs in urban street dust, were notably higher than in soils within the city, which indicates that transport is the main source of these elements. Concentrations of Cu, Cd, Pb, Zn, Mn, and As in street dust of Tyumen were lower compared to many large cities, while Cr, Ni, and Co were higher. Concentrations of PAH were comparable to other large nonindustrial cities. Total contamination of street dust by both PTEs and PAHs showed more robust relationships with the number of roadway lanes rather than land use. The estimated carcinogenic risks were low in 70% of samples and medium in 30% of samples. Noncarcinogenic risks were attributed to exposure to Co, Ni, V, and As. The total noncarcinogenic risk for adults was found to be negligible, while the risk was found to be moderate for children.

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“…Проблемою визначення рівня автомобілізації і факторів, що на нього впливають займалося багато вітчизняних і зарубіжних дослідників. У останніх публікаціях [3][4][5][6] рівень автомобілізації у країнах світу розглядається з врахуванням окремих факторів соціально-економічного стану окремих країн світу і їх географічні особливості. В основному в роботах розглядається вплив рівня валового внутрішнього доходу на одну особу населення на рівень автомобілізації.…”

Section: аналіз останніх досліджень і публікаційunclassified

Research of the Economic Factors Impact on the Automobilization Level

Semchenko

2020

MEC

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Mortality from road accidents continues to rise, amounting to 1.35 million deaths per year. It is emphasized that today injuries as a result of road accidents are the main cause of children death and young people aged 5-29 years and the three main causes of person’s death aged 5 to 44 years. Studies of road safety various aspects in different countries have shown that the world has long and steadily formed a global problem of irregular road accidents. First of all, the inverse dependence of the emergency risk on the material well-being of countries is clearly visible. The risk of death as a result of road accidents in low-income countries is three times higher than in high-income countries. The highest rates are in Africa (26.6 cases per 100,000 people) and the lowest in Europe (9.3 cases per 100,000 people). In addition, in recent years, experts are trying to link the actual accident rate in countries with the life quality of their populations. Quality of life as a concept includes not only the material level but also the satisfaction of spiritual needs, health, life expectancy, environmental conditions, moral and psychological climate, emotional comfort, etc., which ultimately determines the transport culture of the population. In this regard, it is of interest to identify links between the results of rating assessments of the people life quality in different countries and the level of these countries road safety typical. To do this, first of all it is necessary to assess the economic factors impact on the motorization level, which is insufficiently studied. The purpose is to determine the dependences of the economic factors impact, namely gross domestic product per capita and average wages, on the motorization level. The data for the study were taken from official statistical sources. The results were processed by methods of mathematical statistics and regression analysis. According to the results of the experiments, regression models were obtained for European countries; Asia and Oceania; The Middle East; Africa; North, Central America and the Caribbean; South America. The comparison of the simulated values and the initial data showed a high degree of correlation. The originality lies in the fact that the regularities of the economic factors influence on the motorization level are investigated, which makes it possible to obtain predicted values in the future. Improving the efficiency and safety of vehicles on the road network is possible based on the use of the motorization level predicted values in research. The obtained research results can be used to determine the feasibility of introducing certain measures to organize traffic.

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The Automobilization Process and Its Determining Factors in the Past, Present, and Future

Cited by 9 publications

References 21 publications

Walking for transportation in large Latin American cities: walking-only trips and total walking events and their sociodemographic correlates

Walking for transportation in large Latin American cities: walking-only trips and total walking events and their sociodemographic correlates

Pollution status and human health risk assessment of potentially toxic elements and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in urban street dust of Tyumen city, Russia

Research of the Economic Factors Impact on the Automobilization Level

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