The Economic and Social Consequences of Environmental Migration in the Central Asian Countries

Lukyanets, Artem S.

doi:10.37178/ca-c.20.2.13

Cited by 10 publications

(12 citation statements)

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“…Problems associated with climate change are going to increase each year. The reason for this is the ongoing changes in the global socio-economic system (Lukyanets et al, 2020). The next two decades will become crucial for testing existing climate models and theories.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climate change Climate risks However, according to K. Hewitt (1997), the structure of climate risks implies adaptation to new realities. It is already possible to cope with some climate risks of a local seasonal nature (dams, etc.…”

Section: Particular Territory (Environment + Society)mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One of the derivatives of climate change is climate risks that affect people's everyday lives and pose a severe threat to private property and the economy. The concept of climate risk and trouble in general implies: a) the presence of an extreme natural phenomenon, both predicted and unexpected; b) human activity subjected to damage due to the specified event (Hewitt, 1997). Therefore, climate risks have a reasonably broad basis for occurrence.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The impact of climate risks on Russia’s economic development: example of the North Caucasian Federal District

Lukyanets

Сергеевич²,

Bragin

et al. 2021

Vestn. Ross. univ. družby nar., Ser. Èkon.

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This article presents an analysis of climate risks structure and effects on the Russian Federation's economic development. Despite the existed theoretical background, it is not clear about the leading risk factor, human adaptation to it, and the subsequent effect on the economy. This happens since some climate risks can be controlled; therefore, their impact on the regional economy is minimal. Thus, we are interested in the scope of certain climate risks affecting the Russian Federations economic situation. We have selected the North Caucasian Federal District because it is strongly susceptible to the most severe climate risks as droughts and floods. Considering the complexity of the climate risk formation process, we use mixed-methods. It allows identifying the quantitative component and analyzing the object in the framework of the existing theoretical background. During our research, we determined the cause of climate risk formation in the Russian Federation. With the collected empirical data for 2010-2013 regarding the level of drought, precipitation, and crop productivity, we have compared the region's economic situation with climate risks. It was determined that despite the clear manifestation of climate risks in the North Caucasian Federal District, the economic damage to the region is minimal due to the high level of the region's resistance to the existing threats and their localization. Nevertheless, guided by the theoretical and methodological basis of the topic under study and revised data on the migration loss of the region, we can assume that the North Caucasian FDs climate risks are expressed in the concept of climate migration, and this process has an increasing dynamic.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Particular Territory (Environment + Society)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The impact of climate risks on Russia’s economic development: example of the North Caucasian Federal District

Lukyanets

Сергеевич²,

Bragin

et al. 2021

Vestn. Ross. univ. družby nar., Ser. Èkon.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…Although questionable, the projected estimates of climatedisplaced individuals and the theory behind them were widely cited in various studies and reports to emphasize the Earth's deteriorating conditions in terms of human habitat suitability, advocate for humanitarian charities, and lobby the concerned parties on the formulation and implementation of climate refugee and environment protection measures or policies. Such reports and studies include the work of Lukyanets et al [31], the Lancet Countdown [32], Ajibade et al [33], the Norwegian Refugee Council [34], Biermann & Boas [35], the Geneva-based Global Humanitarian Forum [36], and Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change [37], among others.…”

Section: Annals Of Social Sciences and Management Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Environment-Human Migration Nexus: An Empirical Overview

Tiwari

2022

ASM

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Nature is an active agent in the environment-induced human migration seems to be logical in explaining the large, forecasted estimates of the climate-displaced people by environmentalists. However, migration scholars and researchers have largely ignored this direct causal relationship. To ascertain whether people's decisions to stay or leave are directly proportional to the environmental crisis they face, this paper analyzes the various empirical and theoretical studies on this subject. Analysis of the real-life instances suggests that environmental changes are a contextual factor and trigger migration only when intertwined with other divers of migration. Moreover, migration outcomes, either no or out or return, are a function of the aggregated adaptive capacity of actors at different scales. Based on these premises, this paper presented the Environment-Migration Nexus Framework. This framework highlights the impact of climate stressors on humans, and migration, as an adaptive response, is influenced by individual characteristics, location-specific capital, the government supports, and household-and community-level adaptation strategies. Consideration of this framework might provide the researchers in this field with a more accurate and broader picture of migration in the context of climate change.

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“…For example, in Russia there is a significant influx of migrants from Central Asian countries. Some of them left their homes due to environmental degradation [25]. It should be noted that statistical accounting or estimation of the size of this category of environmental migrants is extremely difficult and possible only on the basis of complex mathematical models.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmentally Induced Migration in the Context of the Coronavirus Pandemic

Moiseeva¹,

Lukyanets²

2021

Bulletin of NAN RK

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The purpose of this article is to identify the specific trends of migration flows induced by negative environmental changes in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. First of all, based on an analysis of meteoro-logical data it was proved that in the near future, the risk of dangerous natural disasters that might cause large-scale population movements remains no less high than in the past few years. A temporary reduction in CO2 emissions due to a reduction in industrial production and transportation along with restrictive infection control measures will be short-term and insufficient to slow down climate change. Consequently, we can expect that during the pandemic the number of environmental migrants throughout the world will not decrease and might reach about 20 million people a year only due to forced relocations caused by weather-related hazards. In this study, we use the term environmental migrants to refer to both those people who have been forced to leave their place of residence due to natural or technological disasters, and those people who have voluntarily decided to migrate under amid slow-onset environ-mental degradation. Both of these categories of migrants are already exposed to the risks posed by adverse environ-mental conditions. In the context of a coronavirus pandemic, additional risks begin to affect each group differently. Internally displaced people will face problems caused by restrictions on movement imposed in most countries, as well as poor sanitary and hygienic conditions during evacuation and at temporary accommodation centers, which greatly increase the risk of infection and further spread of the virus. Voluntary environmental migrants in most cases move because of the inability to continue their usual economic activities in the changing environmental situation in their home region and the need to find a job in a sphere which does not depend directly on natural and climatic conditions. Most often these are farmers who look for temporary employment in cites. This category of migrants will be adversely affected by the economic consequences of the coronavirus pandemic, namely, the reduction of jobs and wages in a number of industries, especially ones that are related to public services and transportation. A cut in remittances will reduce the adaptive potential of their environmentally vulnerable home areas, and lead to further deterioration of the environment and living conditions of the population.

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The Economic and Social Consequences of Environmental Migration in the Central Asian Countries

Cited by 10 publications

References 0 publications

The impact of climate risks on Russia’s economic development: example of the North Caucasian Federal District

The impact of climate risks on Russia’s economic development: example of the North Caucasian Federal District

The Environment-Human Migration Nexus: An Empirical Overview

Environmentally Induced Migration in the Context of the Coronavirus Pandemic

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