The Evolution of the Spatial–Temporal Pattern of Tourism Development and Its Influencing Factors: Evidence from China (2010–2022)

Abstract

The Chinese economy has shifted towards a stage of high-quality development, and promoting high-quality development of tourism is of great significance for its sustainable development. Based on the new development concept, using Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial analysis, Moran’s I Index, and the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model, this paper analyzes the spatial–temporal evolution of tourism development in 31 provinces in China during 2010–2022. The findings are as follows: (1) the overall tourism development level of China from 2010 to 2022 was at a medium-low level, showing a spatial distribution pattern of “higher in southeast and lower in northwest”; (2) from the perspective of the Quality–Quantity relationship, the quality of tourism development in China has gradually improved, the regional gap between the east and the west and the internal gap among western regions/provinces have gradually expanded; and (3) tourism innovation and internationalization level are the main influencing factors of high-quality tourism development in China’s provinces, providing practical decision-making references for advancing the high-quality development of tourism.