Mexico City's principal form of housing production has shifted over the past two decades. More households now purchase houses in large commercially built housing developments than move into informal settlements. Looking at 1500 households in two suburban municipalities from a 2007 metropolitan travel survey, this study is the first to quantify differences in car ownership and car use across households in informal settlements and commercial housing developments. Accounting for income, proxies for wealth, household composition, and geography, households living in commercial housing developments are likely to own more cars and drive more than similar households in neighboring informal settlements. A test for residential self-selection finds no unobserved correlations across households that own cars and live in commercial housing developments, suggesting that the included controls do a good job of capturing the effects of residential self-selection or that the effects are limited. Something about the local land use and design of new commercial housing developments appears conducive to car ownership and use. Differences between the two settlement types, including more parking, wider streets, less-connected street-grids, and less accessible transit stops in commercial settlements, likely play a role.
IntroductionAt 35,000 feet-a typical cruising altitude for a long-distance commercial flight-Los Héroes Tecámac looks a bit like an urban airport. Two long, thick, near-perpendicular, gray lines intersect like massive runways providing access from northwest to southeast and northeast to southwest. To the north are the unmistakable tan and green rectangles of agricultural land. To the east and west are the equally unmistakable curving black, gray, and tan specks and lines of informal urbanization that is so characteristic of Mexico City's peripheral neighborhoods and many like them around the world (Figure 1). Located almost 20 miles to the northeast of the historic center, Los Héroes, despite its somewhat unusual appearance from the air, is typical of contemporary housing developments in Mexico City on the ground. Over the past two decades, Mexico City's principal form of new housing production has shifted from an informal process, where households built their own properties generally in informal settlements on the periphery, to a formal process, where private developers acquire large peripheral lots, build new housing speculatively, and sell completed homes in massive developments to households that qualify for publicly subsidized mortgages (Monkkonen 2011a, 2011b, Pardo and Velasco Sánchez 2006. What look like thick gray lines from the air are rows of identical one-, two-, and three-story attached houses and condominiums along intersecting rectangular grids of arterial roads and linear culs-de-sac. Small parking spaces separate the building facades from the sidewalk and street.