The relationship between vitamin D level and second acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear-positive during treatment for TB patients was inferred by Bayesian network

Abstract

Background Vitamin D is related to human immunity, so we used Bayesian network model to analyze and infer the relationship between vitamin D level and the acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear-positive after two months treatment among pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) patients. Methods This is a cross-sectional study. 731 TB patients whose vitamin D level were detected and medical records were collected from December 2019 to December 2020 in XinJiang of China. Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of second AFB smear-positive. Bayesian network was used to further analyze the causal relationship among vitamin D level and the second AFB smear-positive. Results Baseline AFB smear-positive (OR = 6.481, 95%CI: 1.604~26.184), combined cavity (OR = 3.204, 95%CI: 1.586~6.472), full supervision (OR = 8.173, 95%CI:1.536~43.492) and full management (OR = 6.231, 95%CI:1.031~37.636) were not only the risk factors and can also be considered as the reasons for second AFB smear-positive in TB patients (Ensemnle > 0.5). There was no causal relationship between vitamin D level and second AFB smear-positive (Ensemnle = 0.0709). Conclusions The risk factors of second AFB smear-positive were baseline AFB smear-positive, combined cavity, full supervision and full management. The vitamin D level in TB patients was not considered as one of the reasons for the AFB smear-positive.