The Synthetic Evaluation Model for Analysis of Flooding Hazards

Tan, Hongzhuan; Ping, Weiwei; Yang, Tubao; Li, Shuoqi; Liu, Aizhong; Jia, Zhenquan; Groves, Jamila; Sun, Zhaoqing

doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckl067

Cited by 15 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…Forecast models: Although no model can predict exactly the future incidence of Leptospirosis, adjusted models are useful to forecast probable incidence trends and epidemics. 42 Five available forecast models were tested for best fit to temporal series of Leptospirosis cases (dependent) and rainfall (independent variable). To select the best fitting model, all were tested to determine how well they predicted the real temporal series of 2000e2004.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Large-scale application of highly-diluted bacteria for Leptospirosis epidemic control

Bracho¹,

Varela²,

Fernández³

et al. 2010

Homeopathy

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Large-scale application of highly-diluted bacteria for Leptospirosis epidemic control

Bracho¹,

Varela²,

Fernández³

et al. 2010

Homeopathy

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“…An epidemiological survey was conducted after the Dongting Lake flood between January and May 2000, revealing that the prevalence of PTSD among adult survivors was 9.2 % [13,14], and the onset of PTSD after the flood was significantly associated with age, gender, education, flood experience, and social support [13,15]. However, the prognosis of those individuals with PTSD was unknown.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predictors of recovery from post-traumatic stress disorder after the dongting lake flood in China: a 13–14 year follow-up study

et al. 2016

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BackgroundFloods are some of the most common and destructive natural disasters in the world, potentially leading to both physical injuries and psychological disorders, including post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). PTSD can damage functional capacity and interfere with social functioning. However, little is known about recovery from PTSD after floods. This study used 2013–2014 follow-up data on survivors of the 1998 Dongting Lake flood who were diagnosed with PTSD in 2000 to measure the prevalence rate of PTSD at follow-up and identify predictors of recovery from the PTSD diagnosis in 2000.MethodsParticipants included survivors who had been diagnosed as having PTSD in 2000 after the 1998 Dongting Lake flood. PTSD at follow-up was reassessed using the PTSD Checklist-Civilian version. Information on demographics, trauma-related stressors, post-trauma stressors, social support, and coping style were collected through face-to-face interviews. The association between the independent variables and PTSD at follow-up was analyzed using logistic regression analyses.ResultsA total of 201 participants with a PTSD diagnosis in 2000 were included in this study. A total of 19.4 % of the flood survivors with PTSD in 2000 continued to suffer from PTSD in 2013–2014. In the multivariable logistic regression model, individuals who had lost relatives (OR = 12.37, 95 % CI = 2.46–62.16), suffered from bodily injury (OR = 5.01, 95 % CI = 1.92–13.08), had a low level of social support (OR = 5.47, 95 % CI = 1.07–27.80), or had a negative coping style (OR = 4.92, 95 % CI = 1.89–12.81) were less likely to recover from PTSD.ConclusionsThe prevalence rate of PTSD at follow-up indicates that natural disasters such as floods may have a negative influence on survivors’ mental health for an extended period of time. Individuals who have lost relatives, suffered from bodily injury, had a low level of social support, or had a negative coping style were less likely to recover from PTSD. Therefore, effective psychological intervention measures are necessary for facilitating the recovery process from PTSD, especially for individuals with adverse prognostic factors.

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“…4 Flood is one of the top 10 natural disasters that threaten human survival. 5 Besides the significant damage it can inflict on the industrial and agricultural sectors, a flood can unleash a variety of serious health hazards onto people. However, an enormous divergence in the reported incidence of PTSD after flooding is observed between studies.…”

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confidence: 99%

The Incidence of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder After Floods: A Meta-Analysis

Chen¹,

Liu²

2015

Disaster med. public health prep.

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This study analyzes the incidence of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among flood victims, between different flood intensities, and between different time points after a flood. A search of several electronic literature databases was conducted to collect data on the incidence of PTSD after a flood. Loney criteria for research quality were used to evaluate the quality of selected search results. The combined incidence of PTSD was estimated using the Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation method. Subgroup analyses were conducted on different trauma intensities and different time points after a flood. Sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the impact of research quality. Fourteen articles were included in this meta-analysis, including a total of 40 600 flood victims; 3862 victims were diagnosed with PTSD. The combined incidence of PTSD was 15.74%. The subgroup analyses showed that the incidence of PTSD in victims who experienced severe and moderate flood intensity was higher than that in victims who experienced mild flood intensity. The incidence of PTSD was lower at 6 or more months after a flood (11.45%) than within 6 months (16.01%) of a flood. In conclusion, the incidence of PTSD among floods of different trauma intensities was statistically significant. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2015;9:329-333)

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The Synthetic Evaluation Model for Analysis of Flooding Hazards

Abstract: A SEM of flood hazards was established with an agreement of 98.2%, which can be used to evaluate the hazards, and assist public health-care workers provide appropriate flood disaster management.

Cited by 15 publications

References 16 publications

Large-scale application of highly-diluted bacteria for Leptospirosis epidemic control

Large-scale application of highly-diluted bacteria for Leptospirosis epidemic control

Predictors of recovery from post-traumatic stress disorder after the dongting lake flood in China: a 13–14 year follow-up study

The Incidence of Posttraumatic Stress Disorder After Floods: A Meta-Analysis

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