The Systemic Approach for Estimating and Strategizing Energy Security: The Case of Ukraine

Abstract

The current approaches to estimating the level of energy security are based on applying a comprehensive approach to selecting the factors that affect energy security and the dynamics of processes in this domain. This article reveals the application of the model of energy security estimation and strategizing based on the systemic description of energy security as an object of management: the integral system, elements and connections, functions, processes, and the system’s material. At the same time, this model is able to take into account the dynamics of technological, political, economic, and other factors operating in the country and on the global arena. The energy security estimation model developed uses a modern methodology of integrated estimation: a multiplicative form of the integrated index, a formalized definition of the safe existence limits in order to provide scientific substantiation of the threshold vector, a modified rationing method, the principal components method, and the sliding matrix method to substantiate dynamic weighting coefficients. The paper demonstrates the systemic approach application to shaping strategic goals in the energy security domain in the context of sustainable development; the trajectory of energy security development is calculated by the method of strategizing that applies the principle “future is determined by the trajectory to the future” instead of the classical forecasting “past determines the future”. In general, the article shows the possibility of unifying the process of formalizing energy security (according to the needs of the researcher: country, industry, energy network, supply chain) as an object of management, estimating energy security status, and strategizing the regulatory sphere transformation in accordance with the target values for monitoring the effectiveness of management.

The Factorial-Reflexive Approach to Diagnosing the Executors’ and Contractors’ Attitude to Achieving the Objectives by Energy Supplying Companies

“…In addition, the factor-reflexive approach presented in the article can be integrated into already existing models of economic sustainability [3,[8][9][10]14,15,19,23,24,[59][60][61][62][63][64][65][66][67][68][69][70][71][72][73], and can also be used to form and adjust strategies of various scales and areas of management.…”

Sustainable Manufacture of Bearing Bushing Parts

“…Disturbing factors are those whose values cannot be adjusted by users but can influence the output parameters' values. Research concerns have sought to address sustainability issues as a system, using principles from the systemic analysis [12][13][14][15][16]. In the case of the problem addressed in this paper, i.e., the sustainable manufacture of technology for finishing the inner surfaces of bearing bushes, the use of systemic analysis will have to facilitate the identification of those factors capable of affecting the accuracy of the inner surface of the bearing bushing by applying a finishing turning.…”

The Uncertainty Factor in the Market Economic System: The Microeconomic Aspect of Sustainable Development

“…Moreover, the study of the sustainable development parameters as priority strategic goals in the context of Industry 4.0 is carried out in the works by Abazov (2021), Arefieva et al (2021), Boiko et al (2019), Bogachov et al (2020, Borychowski et al (2020), Chygryn et al (2020), Cyfert et al (2021), Czyżewski et al (2019Czyżewski et al ( , 2020, Dalevska (2013), Dalevska et al (2019), Dementyev (2013, 2015, Dementyev & Scherbakov (2017), Dementyev & Kwilinski (2020), Dementyev et al (2021), Dzwigol (2019a, 2019b, 2020c2021a;2021b;2021c), Dzwigol & Dźwigoł-Barosz (2018a;, Dzwigol et al (2019aDzwigol et al ( , 2019bDzwigol et al ( , 2019c, Gorynia (2019), Gorynia et al (2019), Kaźmierczyk & Chinalska (2018), Kharazishvili et al (2020Kharazishvili et al ( , 2021aKharazishvili et al ( , 2021b, Khrapkina (2021), Koibichuk et al (2021), Kondratenko et al (2020), Kwilinski (2018aKwilinski ( , 2018b, Kwilinski et al (2019aKwilinski et al ( , 2019bKwilinski et al ( , 2019cKwilinski et al ( , 2019d…”