2022
DOI: 10.5937/socpreg56-40343
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The trend forecast model in the achievement of energy security of the countries and regional complexes

Abstract: The paper describes and illustrates a simple, robust, yet sufficiently detailed model that ensures quick and accurate enough forecast of trends and their possible effect on the processes related to energy security and, accordingly, global security. The heuristic model also takes into account diversity in the understanding of the energy paradigm. It is based on the 4As definition of energy security (Acceptability, Availability, Affordability, Accessibility) and uses the regional security complex theory. It cons… Show more

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