“…Explanation is our goal, not prediction (Brown et al, 2005). CA approaches have been used to investigate land cover change in a variety of settings, both urban (e.g., Batty et al, 1999;Webster and Wu, 1999;White and Engelen, 1993;White et al, 1997) and rural (e.g., Mas et al, 2004;Messina and Walsh, 2001;Silveira et al, 2002;Walsh et al, 2006). Our approach is distinctive in its incorporation of population growth and spatial distribution on an annual basis over almost fifty years.…”