2024
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13932
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Thermal Forcing Versus Chilling? Misspecification of Temperature Controls in Spring Phenology Models

Xiaojie Gao,
Andrew D. Richardson,
Mark A. Friedl
et al.

Abstract: BackgroundClimate‐change‐induced shifts in the timing of leaf emergence during spring have been widely documented and have important ecological consequences. However, mechanistic knowledge regarding what controls the timing of spring leaf emergence is incomplete. Field‐based studies under natural conditions suggest that climate‐warming‐induced decreases in cold temperature accumulation (chilling) have expanded the dormancy duration or reduced the sensitivity of plants to warming temperatures (thermal forcing) … Show more

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