‘This time I’m (not) voting’: A comprehensive overview of campaign factors influencing turnout at European Parliament elections

Marquart, Franziska; Goldberg, Andreas C.; Vreese, Claes H. de

doi:10.1177/1465116520943670

Cited by 14 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…Of course, socio-economic and demographic variables are correlated with attitudes, but by no means perfectly. A recent study on turnout in European elections does include left-right ideology and its squared term, but only as a control variable (Marquart et al, 2020). 4.…”

Section: Orcid Idsmentioning

confidence: 99%

From polarization of the public to polarization of the electorate: European Parliament elections as the preferred race for ideologues

Fenzl

Slapin

Wilhelm

2022

European Union Politics

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This study examines the effect of voters’ ideological extremism on turnout in European national and European Parliament elections. Using data from recent European Election Studies, the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems, and other national election studies, we find that, relative to centrists, ideological extremists (measured by self-placement on the left–right scales) are more likely to vote in European Parliament elections (2014 and 2019) but not national elections. We argue that these differences stem from the fact that European Parliament elections are second-order races. The results help to explain why the European Parliament has become more polarized, even in the absence of significant changes in overall attitudes among the European public, and why extreme parties have been more successful in recent European Parliament than national elections.

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Section: Orcid Idsmentioning

confidence: 99%

From polarization of the public to polarization of the electorate: European Parliament elections as the preferred race for ideologues

Fenzl

Slapin

Wilhelm

2022

European Union Politics

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“…In terms of non-structural factors in EP elections, recent analyses demonstrate how campaigning has influenced citizens' voting decisions (Gattermann & Marquart, 2020;Marquart et al, 2020). Moreover, more informed EU citizens are more likely to vote, as demonstrated by Hogh and Larsen (2016) based on a quasi-experiment.…”

Section: Theoretical Argumentation and Assumptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Turnout in European parliament elections 1979–2019

Hosli

Kantorowicz

Nagtzaam

et al. 2022

European Politics and Society

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The European Parliament (EP) has seen a gradual increase in its powers since the introduction of direct elections in 1979. Scholars have focused on both individual-level and aggregate factors to explain turnout rates in EP elections over time, including increased levels of EU politicization and the rise in support for Eurosceptic parties. However, one strand of analysis seems to partially have been overlooked: Some earlier research on EP election turnout claimed that absolute turnout rates across the EU should be used with care, as a number of 'structural factors' influences these shares and with this, affects estimates of actual voter turnout. Are such structural variables still relevant in a time where European politics are becoming increasingly salient among the wider public, pro-and anti-EU sentiments may increase citizens' inclination to vote and trust in EU institutions may be getting increasingly important? Based on various estimates, we find that structural factors can still be characterized as determinants in EP elections, but that the power of structural factors to explain turnout at the EU level, compared to nonstructural factors, has decreased. Nonetheless, EU-wide (average) EP turnout rates, as widely reported, are not likely to be good reflections of actual trends in EP turnout over time.

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“…This situation will make them choose not to vote. 45 In addition, for the sake of its own agenda, it is also able to trigger emotional reactions and moral panic in the community. Therefore, setting the agenda will challenge democracy because the fear or anxiety of the community can change the behavior of the voters.…”

Section: Conceptual Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Politics of Floods and Fear During Pre-15th General Election in Malaysia: An Analysis

Abdullah

Annuar

Hamzah

et al. 2022

SEJARAH

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UMNO's call to put pressure on the Malaysian government, under the leadership of Ismail Sabri, to hold the GE15 during the flood season, which is expected to start in November 2022 until March 2023, was observed to have surprised many parties. In fact, this call was responded to by Ismail Sabri's announcement in the UMNO assembly stating that the parliament will be dissolved in the near future to make way for the GE15, which also confirmed that it was likely that the election would be held during the flood season in Malaysia. Finally, on October 10, 2022, Ismail Sabri announced the dissolution of the 14th parliament and confirmed that the GE15 will be held during the flood season in Malaysia. This announcement has created an atmosphere of panic and fear among the people because Malaysia will generally be hit by a flood season during the specified period. Therefore, this research aims to identify how the flood season affects the ideas for the GE15. The conceptual framework proposed in this research is political distrust of the government and the setting of political agendas that will influence voters’ behaviour. This research is relevant and has its own importance due to the fact that research related to floods during the general election in Malaysia has not been carried out before. It provides a new approach when focusing on how floods affect the course of elections in Malaysia, in addition to introducing a new landscape in national politics. The results of this study found that the GE15 in Malaysia will most likely not represent the true voice of the people of this country because it is held during the flood season. This is because it would have reduced the voting percentage due to weather factors that may cause people to refuse to go out to vote. In conclusion, the politics of flood and fear have the potential to influence voters’ behaviour of going out to vote or otherwise, and would have an impact on the outcome of the election results.

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‘This time I’m (not) voting’: A comprehensive overview of campaign factors influencing turnout at European Parliament elections

Cited by 14 publications

References 56 publications

From polarization of the public to polarization of the electorate: European Parliament elections as the preferred race for ideologues

From polarization of the public to polarization of the electorate: European Parliament elections as the preferred race for ideologues

Turnout in European parliament elections 1979–2019

Politics of Floods and Fear During Pre-15th General Election in Malaysia: An Analysis

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