2020
DOI: 10.1002/asmb.2521
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Tolerance intervals for autoregressive models, with an application to hospital waiting lists

Abstract: Long waiting lists are a symbol of inefficiencies of hospital services. The dynamics of waiting lists are complex, especially when trying to understand how the lists grow due to the demand of a particular treatment relative to a hospital's capacity. Understanding the uncertainty of forecasting growth/decline of waiting lists could help hospital managers with capacity planning. We address this uncertainty through the use of statistical tolerance intervals, which are intervals that contain a specified proportion… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Although the number and time of patients' visits are uncertain, the hospital can also predict the demand for medical resources through technical means in the actual operation process [24,25]. The disadvantages of waiting for a long time are obvious, such as increased hospital costs [26] and decreased patient satisfaction.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although the number and time of patients' visits are uncertain, the hospital can also predict the demand for medical resources through technical means in the actual operation process [24,25]. The disadvantages of waiting for a long time are obvious, such as increased hospital costs [26] and decreased patient satisfaction.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%