Ukraine labour potential modelling based on using the theory of unclear logic

Abstract

Purpose. To develop an effective approach to assessing the labour potential of Ukraine. Methodology. The research method is mathematical modelling based on the use of the “theory of fuzzy logic”. Findings. The factors influencing the labour potential of Ukraine are summarized and systematized, which are grouped into three groups: medical-demographic, socio-economic, and behavioural ones. The modelling algorithm is generalized and the linguistic variables that characterize the comprehensive assessment of the level of labour potential of Ukraine are proposed. A tree of logical conclusions of hierarchical relationships of factors with selected terms for evaluating the labour potential of Ukraine was built. Statistical data for Ukraine and 21 countries that are part of the EU is summarized, that made it possible to estimate the level of labour potential (R) for strategic partner countries ‒ Poland and Ukraine, which are 6.4 and 5.95, respectively. Recommendations are offered as for the development of the labour potential of Ukraine. Originality. The scientific novelty of the study is the development of a theoretical-methodological approach to the assessment of the labour potential of Ukraine, which allows comprehensively taking into account the system of fuzzy terms, to evaluate the medical-demographic, socio-economic and behavioural factors of influence on the labour potential of Ukraine based on the use of the theory of fuzzy logic. That, in turn, will allow increasing the effectiveness of the management decision-making system in the direction of improving all components that form the labour potential. Practical value. The importance of assessing labour potential for Ukraine lies in many aspects, the main ones are the following: increasing the efficiency of state administration in the field of labour potential formation; timely identification of problems, determination of the state and formation of strategic prospects for its development, which will allow accelerating the process of Ukraine’s transition from a candidate for EU membership to an EU member and revive the economy, that is currently based on the military rails.