Umbilical shapes predict future protrusion in pediatric umbilical hernias

Abstract

Background: This study was conducted to evaluate the incidence and early predictive factors of the development of protuberant umbilicus in pediatric umbilical hernia patients. Methods: In this retrospective visual and chart review, patients younger than 3 months with umbilical hernias who initially visited Ina Central Hospital from April 2011 to March 2017 and were followed until they started to walk (at the age of 1 year) were evaluated. The umbilici of the patients at the age of 1 year were classified into two types based on their appearance: concave and protuberant umbilici. Single-factor and logistic regression analyses of the association between the appearance of the umbilicus at the age of 1 year and various clinical data were performed. Results: Of the 103 patients, 72% had concave umbilici, and 28% had protuberant umbilici. Single-factor analysis showed significant differences in the umbilical shapes at the initial visit (P < 0.001) and straining habit (P < 0.001). The most ideal logistic regression model demonstrated that umbilici of the highly inflated balloon type (odds ratio, 27.00; 95% confidence interval odds ratio, 5.60-130.08) and crescent type (odds ratio, 14.34; 95% confidence interval odds ratio, 4.22-48.77) were more likely to develop into protuberant umbilici. Conclusions: Umbilical shapes at the initial visit can be used to predict the future development of protuberant umbilici in pediatric patients with umbilical hernias.