Updated threshold, renewed problems: should the diagnostic criteria of polycythemia vera be reconsidered? A retrospective cross-sectional cohort study

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: This aim of this study was to evaluate hemoglobin and hematocrit values of polycythemia vera and secondary polycythemia patients with updated World Health Organization thresholds. In addition, by determining our own threshold values, we aimed to demonstrate the necessity of bone marrow biopsy and genetic analysis to be used for further diagnosis in patients with high-normal hematocrit and hemoglobin values. METHODS: A cross-sectional and retrospective study was performed with the medical records of patients from Eskisehir City Hospital hematology clinics and outpatient clinics between July 1, 2019 and July 1, 2020. The study included patients with polycythemia, divided into two groups according to polycythemia vera and secondary polycythemia. A bone marrow biopsy was performed on patients with either Janus kinase mutation positivity and/or subnormal erythropoietin levels. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was used to find threshold values, and the diagnostic efficiency of these values in differentiating World Health Organization thresholds in 2008 and 2016 was evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 73 patients were included. The median age was 43.5 years (min: 18; max: 84). The hematocrit value of 54.1 was predicted to diagnose polycythemia vera with a sensitivity of 45% and a specificity of 80%. Subsequent analysis revealed that an hemoglobin value of 17.7 was indicative of diagnosing polycythemia vera with a sensitivity of 60% and a specificity of 63%. The mean follow-up length was 6.4 months (2-12). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated that modified World Health Organization criteria might lead to unnecessary additional tests for polycythemia vera patients with high-normal hemoglobin and hematocrit values.