Context
Metabolites in tricarboxylic acid (TCA) pathway have pleiotropic functions.
Objective
To study the association between urine TCA cycle metabolites and the risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in individuals with type 2 diabetes.
Design, setting and participants
A prospective study in a discovery (n = 1826) and a validation (n = 1235) cohort of type 2 diabetes in a regional hospital and a primary care facility
Exposure and Outcome
Urine lactate, pyruvate, citrate, alpha-ketoglutarate, succinate, fumarate and malate were measured by mass spectrometry. CKD progression was defined as a composite of sustained eGFR below 15 ml/min/1.73 m2 , dialysis, renal death or doubling of serum creatinine.
Results
During a median of 9.2 (IQR 8.1-9.7) and 4.0 (3.2-5.1) years of follow-up, 213 and 107 renal events were identified. Cox regression suggested that urine lactate, fumarate and malate were associated with an increased risk (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR [95% CI] 1.63 [1.16-2.28], 1.82 [1.17-2.82] and 1.49 [1.05-2.11], per SD), while citrate was associated with a low risk (aHR 0.83 [0.72-0.96] per SD) for the renal outcome after adjustment for cardio-renal risk factors. These findings were reproducible in the validation cohort. Noteworthy, fumarate and citrate were independently associated with the renal outcome after additional adjustment for other metabolites.
Conclusion
Urine fumarate and citrate predict the risk for progression to ESKD independent of clinical risk factors and other urine metabolites. These two metabolites in TCA cycle pathway may play important roles in the pathophysiological network underpinning progressive loss of kidney function in patients with type 2 diabetes.