Use of Optimization Modeling to Assess the Effect of Timber and Carbon Pricing on Harvest Scheduling, Carbon Sequestration, and Net Present Value of Eucalyptus Plantations

Hirigoyen, Andrés; Acuña, Mauricio; Rachid-Casnati, Cecilia; Franco, Jorge; Navarro-Cerrillo, Rafael M.

doi:10.3390/f12060651

Cited by 12 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…The net present value (NPV) was widely used to evaluate the program's economic feasibility [21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28]. It presents the cash inflows subtracted by the cash outflows linked to the investment over an observed period.…”

Section: Data Sources and Evaluation Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Forage Plantation Program between Desertification Mitigation and Livestock Feeding: An Economic Analysis

Belhouadjeb¹,

Boumakhleb²,

Toaiba³

et al. 2022

Land

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To combat desertification and land degradation in arid and semi-arid zones, the government has adopted an approach of rehabilitation of pasturelands through forage plantations. This program was launched at the beginning of the 1990s and, to date, there has been no global or national study on the sustainability of the program, particularly its economic profitability. Our work’s principal objective was to perform an economic analysis of the forage plantation program across the different periods since the creation of the program until the year 2020, focusing on the economic evaluation parameters of the projects, such as mean annual net income, net present value, annuity of the net present value, profitability index and payback period, based on the data collected from the official institutions. The results showed that the forage plantation program significantly contributes to sustainable development in steppe areas.

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Section: Data Sources and Evaluation Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Forage Plantation Program between Desertification Mitigation and Livestock Feeding: An Economic Analysis

Belhouadjeb¹,

Boumakhleb²,

Toaiba³

et al. 2022

Land

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“…Considering the multiple uncertainties and the dynamics of socioeconomic systems, scenario-based analyses and optimization modeling are useful techniques for assessing the future trajectory of forests [34,35] and, thus, integral parts of planning and decision-making. In this study, we spatially allocated the projected future forest area changes and its goods and carbon service under five SSPs by using scenario analysis and optimization modeling methods based on the national forest inventory database.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Future Carbon Sequestration and Timber Yields from Chinese Commercial Forests under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Liu

Huang

et al. 2023

Forests

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Socio-economic status, technologies, and policies are key factors affecting forest management planning and forest ecosystem functions. This study applied shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) to a forest-management model framework. The potential timber yields and carbon sinks of spatially allocate alternatives were examined by quantifying their consequent changes at the regional tree species level in Chinese commercial forests (CFs) under the harvest and afforestation restrictions. The results indicate that the annual carbon sequestration rate of China’s CFs over the next 50 years is estimated to be 152.0–162.5 Tg/a, which can offset approximately 5% of the anthropogenic CO2 emissions identified in 2019. Newly planted and regenerated forests can contribute more than 80% of this offset. The annual timber supply capacity is estimated to be 119.2–142.4 million m3/a with current policy interventions, which is not enough to meet the demand for China’s timber market. Although most existing forests are managed as the primary source for forest goods and carbon service, the total commercial forest area changes are not as large as expected, resulting in only 2.0–10.6% differences. Our results also demonstrate that socioeconomic factors (e.g., social preference, carbon price, and forest logging and silvicultural practices) have a strong impact on carbon sinks but a minor impact on timber yields timber, except for improving harvesting and processing technologies. Establishing local long-term effective forest management systems and making afforestation and regeneration as a priority at the national level are suggested to comprehensively enhance the carbon sequestration and timber-supplying abilities of regional CFs.

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“…The economic value measurement of forest carbon sink refers to monetizing the fixed carbon storage of a forest. Different scholars have different research objects, influence factors, and measurement methods, and the carbon sink price obtained varies greatly, which has a great impact on the estimation of the economic value of forest carbon sink [31]. Through sorting out relevant literature, the current methods used by scholars to measure the economic value of forest carbon sink mainly include artificial fixed carbon dioxide method, carbon tax law [32], market price method [33], afforestation cost method [34], and so on, but it is difficult to use these methods to accurately predict the future carbon value based on market fluctuations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulation of Spatial Service Range and Value of Carbon Sink Based on Intelligent Urban Ecosystem Management System and Net Present Value Models—An Example from the Qinling Mountains

Jing

Zhao

et al. 2022

Forests

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Under the current background of carbon neutrality, the quantification of carbon neutrality in Qinling Mountains, the calculation of the spatial service scope, and the estimation of economic value are of great significance for the improvement of carbon neutrality spatial planning and the carbon trading market. The Intelligent Urban Ecosystem Management System (IUEMS) was used to calculate the carbon sequestration of the Qinling Mountains. The carbon emission of Qinling Mountains was spatialized through model fitting, using the night light data and energy consumption data of various cities. The static carbon content of the Qinling Mountains was obtained. Combined with the common gas diffusion coefficient, under normal temperature and pressure, the service range of the Qinling Mountains’ carbon neutralization to the surrounding area was calculated. The spatial distribution of carbon sequestration in 2030 and 2050 was simulated using Patch generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model and Net Present Value (NPV) model. Under two discount rates, the model could calculate the carbon value in 2012, 2016, 2020, 2030, and 2050, respectively. The results proved that the value of carbon in the Qinling Mountains is gradually increasing. Since 2012, the service range of carbon neutralization in the Qinling Mountains was 175–262.63 km, and the service range has been gradually expanded. The discount rate is inversely proportional to the carbon value.

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Use of Optimization Modeling to Assess the Effect of Timber and Carbon Pricing on Harvest Scheduling, Carbon Sequestration, and Net Present Value of Eucalyptus Plantations

Cited by 12 publications

References 38 publications

The Forage Plantation Program between Desertification Mitigation and Livestock Feeding: An Economic Analysis

The Forage Plantation Program between Desertification Mitigation and Livestock Feeding: An Economic Analysis

Future Carbon Sequestration and Timber Yields from Chinese Commercial Forests under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Simulation of Spatial Service Range and Value of Carbon Sink Based on Intelligent Urban Ecosystem Management System and Net Present Value Models—An Example from the Qinling Mountains

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