Will the yellow fever mosquito colonise Europe? Assessing the re-introduction of Aedes aegypti using a process-based population dynamical model

Aedes aegypti in the Mediterranean container ports at the time of climate change: A time bomb on the mosquito vector map of Europe

“…aegypti in ports, namely in Algeciras, Barcelona, Venice, Genoa, and Rotterdam. The utilization of container ports as study sites can be justified by the fact that these ports are the hotspots for propagules of invasive, alien species (Da Re et al, 2021). It should not be forgotten, that a few centuries ago, the species evolved from a human-avoiding mosquito to one of the most important, globally significant vector species (Powell and Tabachnick, 2013), and on the other hand, it moved from its original tropical habitat to the temperate belt with human assistance and adapted to the cooler and sometimes drier environments with great success.…”

dynamAedes: a unified modelling framework for invasiveAedesmosquitoes

“…The basic structure of has been described in Da Re et al (2021). We amended some components of the model to generalise its structure.…”

“…Graphical representation of model structure, adapted from Da Re et al (2021): a) the life cycle of a generic simulated mosquito species, while in b) a representation of active and passive dispersal processes happening within the Adult (A) compartment at local scale. E: egg compartment; Ed: diapause egg compartment (available for all species except Ae.…”

“…Passive dispersal is also implemented and it requires i) a matrix containing the coordinates of the grid cells of the landscape intersecting the road network (argument ), and ii) to specify the average car trip distance through the argument , which can be defined by the user or considering estimates for the following countries: France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain and the United Kingdom Pasaoglu et al (2012). An extensive example of model application at local spatial scales is described in Da Re et al (2021).…”

“…As a consequence, large experimental and observational datasets on the relationship between water or air temperature and physiological parameters have been collected and used to develop mechanistic models that reproduce the basic life cycle of these four species (e.g., for Ae. aegypti Focks et al, 1993a,b; Otero et al, 2006; Da Re et al, 2021; Caldwell et al, 2021; for Ae. albopictus Tran et al, 2013; Erguler et al, 2016; Metelmann et al, 2019; Pasquali et al, 2020; Tran et al, 2020; for Ae.…”