Accurate building construction cost prediction is critical, especially for sustainable projects (i.e., green buildings). Green building construction contracts are relatively new to the construction industry, where stakeholders have limited experience in contract cost estimation. Unlike conventional building construction, green buildings are designed to utilize new technologies to reduce their operations’ environmental and societal impacts. Consequently, green buildings’ construction bidding and awarding processes have become more complicated due to difficulties forecasting the initial construction costs and setting integrated selection criteria for the winning bidders. Thus, robust green building cost prediction modeling is essential to provide stakeholders with an initial construction cost benchmark to enhance decision-making. The current study presents machine learning-based algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOST), deep neural network (DNN), and random forest (RF), to predict green building costs. The proposed models are designed to consider the influence of soft and hard cost-related attributes. Evaluation metrics (i.e., MAE, MSE, MAPE, and R2) are applied to evaluate and compare the developed algorithms’ accuracy. XGBOOST provided the highest accuracy of 0.96 compared to 0.91 for the DNN, followed by RF with an accuracy of 0.87. The proposed machine learning models can be utilized as a decision support tool for construction project managers and practitioners to advance automation as a coherent field of research within the green construction industry.
Sustainable construction projects are essential for economic and societal thriving in modern communities. However, infrastructural construction is usually accompanied by delays in project delivery, which impact sustainability. Such delays adversely affect project time, cost, quality, safety objective functions, and associated Liquidated Damages (LDs). LDs are monetary charges to recompense the owner for additional expenses sustained if the project was not delivered on time due to delays caused by the contractor. This paper proposes modified regression modeling using machine learning (ML) techniques to develop solutions to the problem of predicting LDs for construction projects. The novel modeling methodology presented here is based on six years of data collection from many construction projects across the United States. It represents an innovative use of Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) models hybridized with machine learning (ML). The proposed methodology is evaluated using real datasets, where the developed model is designed to outperform the state-of-the-art LD forecast accuracy. Herein, seven modified regression-based models showed high accuracy in predicting the LDs. Nevertheless, those models’ forecasting ability was limited, so another second-order prediction model is proposed to provide better LD estimations. Independent variables were categorized based on their influence on the estimated LDs. The Total Bid Amount variable had the highest impact, while the Funding Indicator variable had a minimal impact. LD prediction was negatively correlated with all change-order-related variables and Total Adjustment Days, which suggests that those variables introduce extreme uncertainties due to their complex nature. The developed prediction models help decision-makers make better LDs predictions, which is essential for construction project sustainability.
The rapid growth of using the short links in steel buildings due to their high shear strength and rotational capacity attracts the attention of structural engineers to investigate the performance of short links. However, insignificant attention has been oriented to efficiently developing a comprehensive model to forecast the shear strength of short links, which is expected to enhance the steel structures’ constructability. As machine learning algorithms was successfully used in various fields of structural engineering, the current study fills the gap in estimating the shear strength of short links using sophisticated machine learning algorithms. The deriving factors such as web and flange slenderness ratios, the flange-to-web area ratio, the forces in web and flange, and the link length ratio were investigated in this study, which is imperative to formulate an integrated prediction model. Consequently, the aim of this study utilizes advanced machine learning (ML) models (i.e., Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBOOST), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to produce accurate forecasting for the shear strength. In this study, publicly available datasets were used for the training, testing, and validation. Different evaluation metrics were employed to evaluate the prediction’s performance of the used models, such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Coefficient of Determination (R2). The prediction result displays that the XGBOOST and LightGBM provided better, and more reliable results compared to ANN and the AISC code. The XGBOOST and LightGBM models yielded higher values of R2, lower (RMSE), (MAE), and (MAPE) values and have shown to perform more accurate. Therefore, the overall outcomes showed that the LightGBM outperformed the XGBOOST model. Moreover, the overstrength ratio predicted by the LightGBM showed an excellent performance compared to the Gene Expression and Finite Element-based models. The developed models are vital for practitioners to predict the shear strength accurately, which pave the road towards wider application for automation in the steel buildings.
As a fundamental feature of green building cost forecasting, external support is crucial. However, minimal research efforts have been directed to developing practical models for determining the impact of external public and private support on green construction projects’ costs. To fill the gap, the current research aims to develop a mathematical model to explore the balance of supply and demand under deflationary conditions for external green construction support and the accompanying spending adjustment processes. The most current datasets from 3578 green projects across Northern America were collected, pre-processed, analyzed, post-processed, and evaluated via cutting-edge machine learning (ML) techniques to retrieve the deep parameters affecting the green construction cost prediction process. According to the findings, public and private investments in green construction are projected to decrease the cost of green buildings. Furthermore, the impact of public and private investment on green construction cost reduction during deflationary periods is more significant than its influence during inflation. As a result, decision-makers may utilize the suggested model to monitor and evaluate the yearly optimal external investment in green building construction.
Pipelines are widely used to transport water, wastewater, and energy products. However, the recently published American Society of Civil Engineers report revealed that the USA drinking water infrastructure is deficient, where 12,000 miles of pipelines have deteriorated. This would require substantial financial investment to rebuild. Furthermore, the current pipeline design practice lacks the guideline to obtain the optimum steel reinforcement and pipeline geometry. Therefore, the current study aimed to fill this gap and help the pipeline designers and practitioners select the most economical reinforced concrete pipelines with optimum steel reinforcement while satisfying the shear stresses demand and serviceability limitations. Experimental testing is considered uneconomical and impractical for measuring the performance of pipelines under a high soil fill depth. Therefore, a parametric study was carried out for reinforced concrete pipes with various diameters buried under soil fill depths using a reliable finite element analysis to execute this investigation. The deflection range of the investigated reinforced concrete pipelines was between 0.5 to 13 mm. This indicates that the finite element analysis carefully selected the pipeline thickness, required flexural steel reinforcement, and concrete crack width while the pipeline does not undergo excessive deformation. This study revealed that the recommended optimum reinforced concrete pipeline diameter-to-thickness ratio, which is highly sensitive to the soil fill depth, is 6.0, 4.6, 4.2, and 3.8 for soil fill depths of 9.1, 12.2, 15.2, and 18.3 m, respectively. Moreover, the parametric study results offered an equation to estimate the optimum pipeline diameter-to-thickness ratio via a design example. The current research outcomes are imperative for decision-makers to accurately evaluate the structural performance of buried reinforced concrete pipelines.
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