The time period between 560 and 360 ka (MIS14 to MIS11) was critical for the evolution of the Neanderthal lineage and the appearance of Levallois technology in Europe. The shifts in the distribution of the human populations, driven by cyclical climate changes, are generally accepted to have played major roles in both processes. We used a dataset of palaeoclimate maps and a species distribution model to reconstruct the changes in the area of Western Europe with suitable environmental conditions for humans during 11 time intervals of the MIS14 to MIS 11 period. Eventually, the maximum sustainable human population within the suitable area during each time interval was estimated by extrapolating the relationship observed between recent hunter-gatherer population density and net primary productivity and applying it to the past. Contrary to common assumptions, our results showed the three Mediterranean Peninsulas were not the only region suitable for humans during the glacial periods. The estimated total sustainable population of Western Europe from MIS14 to MIS11 oscillated between 13,000 and 25,000 individuals. These results offer a new theoretical scenario to develop models and hypotheses to explain cultural and biological evolution during the Middle Pleistocene in Western Europe.
La cavidad denominada Gran Dolina del sistema kárstico de la Sierra de Atapuerca (Burgos), contiene un relleno sedimentario de 18 metros de profundidad, cuya secuencia estratigráfica representa una de las referencias más importantes para las investigaciones del Cuaternario en Europa (Carbonell et al., 1999). Dicha secuencia está formada por once niveles estratigráficos numerados en orden creciente desde la base al techo: TD1/TD11 (Gil et al., 1987; Parés y Pérez González, 1999). Los análisis de paleomagnetismo han localizado en el techo de TD7 un cambio de polaridad, que se interpreta como el límite Matuyama/Brunhes (Parés y Pérez-González, 1995), mientras que en la base de la secuencia (TD1) se ha localizado un evento de polaridad normal, que se puede interpretar bien como el
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