SummaryBackgroundPatients with multiple myeloma treated with lenalidomide maintenance therapy have improved progression-free survival, primarily following autologous stem-cell transplantation. A beneficial effect of lenalidomide maintenance therapy on overall survival in this setting has been inconsistent between individual studies. Minimal data are available on the effect of maintenance lenalidomide in more aggressive disease states, such as patients with cytogenetic high-risk disease or patients ineligible for transplantation. We aimed to assess lenalidomide maintenance versus observation in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma, including cytogenetic risk and transplantation status subgroup analyses.MethodsThe Myeloma XI trial was an open-label, randomised, phase 3, adaptive design trial with three randomisation stages done at 110 National Health Service hospitals in England, Wales, and Scotland. There were three potential randomisations in the study: induction treatment (allocation by transplantation eligibility status); intensification treatment (allocation by response to induction therapy); and maintenance treatment. Here, we report the results of the randomisation to maintenance treatment. Eligible patients for maintenance randomisation were aged 18 years or older and had symptomatic or non-secretory multiple myeloma, had completed their assigned induction therapy as per protocol and had achieved at least a minimal response to protocol treatment, including lenalidomide. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1 from Jan 13, 2011, to Jun 27, 2013, and 2:1 from Jun 28, 2013, to Aug 11, 2017) to lenalidomide maintenance (10 mg orally on days 1–21 of a 28-day cycle) or observation, and stratified by allocated induction and intensification treatment, and centre. The co-primary endpoints were progression-free survival and overall survival, analysed by intention to treat. Safety analysis was per protocol. This study is registered with the ISRCTN registry, number ISRCTN49407852, and clinicaltrialsregister.eu, number 2009-010956-93, and has completed recruitment.FindingsBetween Jan 13, 2011, and Aug 11, 2017, 1917 patients were accrued to the maintenance treatment randomisation of the trial. 1137 patients were assigned to lenalidomide maintenance and 834 patients to observation. After a median follow-up of 31 months (IQR 18–50), median progression-free survival was 39 months (95% CI 36–42) with lenalidomide and 20 months (18–22) with observation (hazard ratio [HR] 0·46 [95% CI 0·41–0·53]; p<0·0001), and 3-year overall survival was 78·6% (95% Cl 75·6–81·6) in the lenalidomide group and 75·8% (72·4–79·2) in the observation group (HR 0·87 [95% CI 0·73–1·05]; p=0·15). Progression-free survival was improved with lenalidomide compared with observation across all prespecified subgroups. On prespecified subgroup analyses by transplantation status, 3-year overall survival in transplantation-eligible patients was 87·5% (95% Cl 84·3–90·7) in the lenalidomide group and 80·2% (76·0–84·4) in the observation group (HR 0·69 [95...

Cancer Research UK, Janssen-Cilag, and Chugai Pharma UK.

Summary Background Tolerability of treatments for multiple myeloma can depend on the characteristics of the patient being treated. We aimed to develop and validate a risk profile, using routinely collected data, that could predict overall survival in patients with multiple myeloma who were ineligible for stem-cell transplantation. Methods We used patient data from two randomised controlled trials done in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma who were ineligible for stem-cell transplantation (the NCRI Myeloma XI study [NCRI-XI, n=1852] and the MRC Myeloma IX study [MRC-IX, n=520]), to develop the UK Myeloma Research Alliance Risk Profile (MRP) for overall survival. We used multivariable Cox regression with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty term. Multiple imputation by chained equations was used to account for missing data in the development and internal validation of the model. The MRP was internally validated in NCRI-XI and externally validated in MRC-IX. The D-statistic was estimated in the developed model and used to internally and externally validate the model according to prespecified criteria. Findings The MRP included WHO performance status, International Staging System, age, and C-reactive protein concentration as prognostic variables. The MRP was prognostic of overall survival and was successfully internally validated in NCRI-XI and externally validated in MRC-IX (D-statistic NCRI-XI: 0·840 [95% CI 0·718–0·963] and MRC-IX: 0·654 [0·497–0·811]). The MRP groups defining low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk patients were associated with progression-free survival and early mortality. A decrease in the percentage of protocol dose delivered and quality of life at baseline were associated with increased risk. The MRP groups remained prognostic in patients exposed to different therapeutic combinations and in patients with genetic high-risk disease defined according to both the UK and International Myeloma Working Group definitions. Interpretation We have developed and externally validated a risk profile for overall survival containing widely available clinical parameters. This risk profile could aid decision making in patients with multiple myeloma ineligible for stem-cell transplantation, but further external validation is required. Funding Medical Research Council, Novartis, Schering Health Care, Chugai, Pharmion, Celgene, Ortho Biotech, Cancer Research UK, Celgene, Merck Sharp & Dohme, and Amgen.

Newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients treated with immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs) are at high venous thrombosis (VTE) risk, but data are lacking from large prospective cohorts. We present thrombosis outcome data from Myeloma IX (n=1936) and Myeloma XI (n=4358), phase III randomized controlled trials for NDMM, treating transplant-eligible and ineligible patients before and after publication of thrombosis prevention guidelines. In Myeloma IX, compared to CTD (cyclophosphamide, thalidomide and dexamethasone), transplant-eligible patients randomized to CVAD induction (cyclophosphamide, vincristine, doxorubicin and dexamethasone) had higher VTE risk (22.5%(n=121/538) vs 16.1%(n=89/554), aHR:1.46,95%CI:1.11-1.93). For transplant-ineligible patients, compared to MP (melphalan and prednisolone), patients randomized to CTDa (attenuated CTD) induction had higher VTE risk (16.0%(n=68/425) vs 4.1%(n=17/419), aHR:4.25,95%CI:2.50-7.20). In Myeloma XI, there was no difference in VTE or arterial thrombosis risk between transplant-eligible pathways, CRD (cyclophosphamide, lenalidomide and dexamethasone) and CTD (VTE:12.2%(n=124/1014) vs 13.2%(n=133/1008), aHR:0.92,95%CI:0.72-1.18; arterial events:1.2%(n=12/1014) vs 1.5%(n=15/1008), aHR:0.80,95%CI:0.37-1.70). For transplant-ineligible patients, there was no difference in VTEs between CRDa (attenuated CRD) and CTDa (10.4%(n=95/916) vs 10.7%(n=97/910), aHR:0.97, 95%CI:0.73-1.29). However, arterial risk was higher with CRDa than CTDa (3.1%(n=28/916) vs 1.6%(n=15/910), aHR:1.91,95%CI:1.02-3.57). Thrombotic events occurred almost entirely within 6m of treatment initiation. Thrombosis was not associated with inferior progression-free or overall survival (OS), apart from inferior OS for patients with arterial events (aHR:1.53, 95%CI:1.12-2.08) in Myeloma XI. The Myeloma XI trial protocol incorporated IMWG thrombosis prevention recommendations and compared to Myeloma IX, more patients were on thromboprophylaxis (80.5% vs 22.3%) with lower VTE rates for identical regimens (CTD:13.2% vs 16.1%, CTDa:10.7% vs 16.0%). However, thrombosis remained frequent in spite of IMWG-guided thromboprophylaxis, suggesting new approaches are needed.

Purpose: In chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), TP53 mutations are associated with reduced survival and resistance to standard chemoimmunotherapy (CIT). Nevertheless, the clinical impact of subclonal TP53 mutations below 10% to 15% variant allele frequency (VAF) remains unclear. Experimental Design: Using a training/validation approach, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical and biological features of TP53 mutations above (high-VAF) or below (low-VAF) the previously reported 10.0% VAF threshold, as determined by deep next-generation sequencing. Clinical impact of low-VAF TP53 mutations was also confirmed in a cohort (n = 251) of CLL treated with fludarabine-cyclophosphamide-rituximab (FCR) or FCR-like regimens from two UK trials. Results: In the training cohort, 97 of 684 patients bore 152 TP53 mutations, while in the validation cohort, 71 of 536 patients had 109 TP53 mutations. In both cohorts, patients with the TP53 mutation experienced significantly shorter overall survival (OS) than TP53 wild-type patients, regardless of the TP53 mutation VAF. By combining TP53 mutation and 17p13.1 deletion (del17p) data in the total cohort (n = 1,220), 113 cases were TP53 mutated only (73/113 with low-VAF mutations), 55 del17p/TP53 mutated (3/55 with low-VAF mutations), 20 del17p only, and 1,032 (84.6%) TP53 wild-type. A model including low-VAF cases outperformed the canonical model, which considered only high-VAF cases (c-indices 0.643 vs. 0.603, P &lt; 0.0001), and improved the prognostic risk stratification of CLL International Prognostic Index. Clinical results were confirmed in CIT-treated cases (n = 552) from the retrospective cohort, and the UK trials cohort. Conclusions: TP53 mutations affected OS regardless of VAF. This finding can be used to update the definition of TP53 mutated CLL for clinical purposes.