A potential link between chronic kidney disease (CKD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been suggested. We investigated the relationship between fatty liver index (FLI), a noninvasive and simple predictor of NAFLD, and the development of CKD defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or positive for urinary protein during a 10-year follow-up period in subjects who received annual health examinations (n = 28,890). After exclusion of CKD at baseline, a total of 14,163 subjects (male/female: 9077/5086) were recruited. During the 10-year period, 1458 males (16.1%) and 737 females (14.5%) had new onset of CKD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with a restricted cubic spline showed that hazard ratios (HRs) of CKD development increased with a higher FLI at baseline in both males and females after adjustment of confounders. When divided by tertiles of FLI level at baseline (T1 ~ T3), the adjusted risk of CKD development in the T3 group (HR [95% confidence interval], male/female: 1.33 [1.16–1.54]/1.33 [1.08–1.63]) was significantly higher than that in both sexes in the T1 group as the reference. The addition of FLI into traditional risk factors significantly improved the discriminatory capability for predicting CKD. In conclusion, a high level of FLI predicts the development of CKD in both sexes in a general population.
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