Background Recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) occurs in up to 50 % of patients within 1 year after catheter ablation, and a clinical risk score to predict recurrence remains a critical unmet need. The aim of this study was to (1) develop a simple score for the prediction of rhythm outcome following catheter ablation; (2) compare it with the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, and (3) validate it in an external cohort. Methods Rhythm outcome between 3 and 12 months after AF catheter ablation were documented. The APPLE score [one point for age>65 years, persistent AF, impaired eGFR (<60 ml/min/1.73 m2), LA diameter ≥43 mm, EF < 50 %] was associated with AF recurrence and was validated in an external cohort in 261 patients with comparable ablation and follow-up. Results In 1145 patients (60 ± 10 years, 65 % male, 62 % paroxysmal AF) the APPLE score showed better prediction of AF recurrences (AUC 0.634, 95 % CI 0.600–0.668, p < 0.001) than CHADS2 (AUC 0.538) and CHA2DS2-VASc (AUC 0.542). Compared to patients with an APPLE score of 0, the odds ratio for AF recurrences was 1.73, 2.79 and 4.70 for APPLE scores 1, 2, or ≥3, respectively (all p < 0.05). In the external validation cohort, the APPLE score showed similar results (AUC 0.624, 95 % CI 0.562–0.687, p < 0.001). Conclusions The novel APPLE score is superior to the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for prediction of rhythm outcome after catheter ablation. It holds promise as a useful tool to identify patients with low, intermediate, and high risk for AF recurrence.

Background Common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at chromosomes 4q25 (rs2200733, rs10033464 near PITX2), 1q21 (rs13376333 in KCNN3), and 16q22 (rs7193343 in ZFHX3) have consistently been associated with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Single-center studies have shown that 4q25 risk alleles predict recurrence of AF after catheter ablation of AF. Here, we performed a meta-analysis to test the hypothesis that these 4 AF susceptibility SNPs modulate response to AF ablation. Methods and Results Patients underwent de novo AF ablation between 2008 and 2012 at Vanderbilt University, the Heart Center Leipzig, and Massachusetts General Hospital. The primary outcome was 12-month recurrence, defined as an episode of AF, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia lasting >30 seconds after a 3-month blanking period. Multivariable analysis of the individual cohorts using a Cox proportional hazards model was performed. Summary statistics from the 3 centers were analyzed using fixed effects meta-analysis. A total of 991 patients were included (Vanderbilt University, 245; Heart Center Leipzig, 659; and Massachusetts General Hospital, 87). The overall single procedure 12-month recurrence rate was 42%. The overall risk allele frequency for these SNPs ranged from 12% to 35%. Using a dominant genetic model, the 4q25 SNP, rs2200733, predicted a 1.4-fold increased risk of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% confidence intervals, 1.1–1.6]; P=0.011). The remaining SNPs, rs10033464 (4q25), rs13376333 (1q21), and rs7193343 (16q22) were not significantly associated with recurrence. Conclusions Among the 3 genetic loci most strongly associated with AF, the chromosome 4q25 SNP rs2200733 is significantly associated with recurrence of atrial arrhythmias after catheter ablation for AF.

Introduction Cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) infections are potentially preventable complications associated with high morbidity, mortality, and cost. A recently developed bio-absorbable antibacterial envelope (TYRX™-A) might prevent CIED infections in high-risk subjects. However, data regarding safety and efficacy have not been published. Methods and results In a single-center retrospective cohort study, we compared the prevalence of CIED infections among subjects with ≥2 risk factors treated with the TYRX™-A envelope (N=135), the non-absorbable TYRX™ envelope (N=353), and controls who did not receive an envelope (N=636). Infection was ascertained by individual chart review. The mean (95% confidence interval) number of risk factors was 3.08 (2.84 to 3.32) for TYRX™-A, 3.20 (3.07 to 3.34) for TYRX™, and 3.09 (2.99 to 3.20) for controls, P=0.3. After a minimum 300 days follow-up, the prevalence of CIED infection was 0 (0%) for TYRX™-A, 1 (0.3%) for TYRX™, and 20 (3.1%) for controls (P=1 for TYRX™-A versus TYRX™, P=0.03 for TYRX™-A versus controls, and P=0.002 for TYRX™ versus controls). In a propensity score-matched cohort of 316 recipients of either envelope and 316 controls, the prevalence of infection was 0 (0%) and 9 (2.8%), respectively, P=0.004. When limited to 122 TYRX™-A recipients and 122 propensity-matched controls, the prevalence of CIED infections was 0 (0%) and 5 (4.1%), respectively, P=0.024. Conclusions Among high-risk subjects, the TYRX™-A bio-absorbable envelope was associated with a very low prevalence of CIED related infections that was comparable to that seen with the non-absorbable envelope.