Background Metabolic syndrome severity, expressed by the continuous metabolic syndrome risk score (MetS score), has been demonstrated to be able to predict future health conditions. However, little is known about the association between MetS score and renal function. Methods A total of 22,719 participants with normal renal function abstracted from the Kailuan Study were followed from 2006 to 2016. The new onset of chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and/or proteinuria >300 mg/dl. Progressive decline in renal function was defined as an annual change rate of eGFR below the 10th percentile of the whole population. Results In the multivariate‐adjusted model, we found that the risk of progressive decline in renal function increased consistently with the MetS score, with an odds ratio of 1.49 (95% CI, 1.28, 1.73) for those subjects>75th percentile compared with those <25th percentile. Additionally, a high MetS score was found to be associated with an increased risk of CKD, with a hazard ratio of 1.53 (95% CI, 1.33, 1.78) for subjects >75th percentile compared with those <25th percentile. Conclusions Our findings suggested that the MetS score was associated with an increased risk of a progressive decline in renal function and was also a strong and independent risk factor for the development of CKD. These findings provide evidence of the potential clinical utility of the MetS score for assessing metabolic syndrome severity to detect the risk of decreased renal function and CKD.
Background: Imported malaria has been an important challenge for China. Fatality rates from malaria increased in China, particularly in Henan Province, primarily due to malpractice and misdiagnoses in healthcare institutions, and the level of imported malaria. This study aims to investigate the relationship between the state of diagnosis and subsequent complications among imported malaria cases at healthcare institutions, based on malaria surveillance data in Henan Province from 2012 to 2017. Methods: A retrospective descriptive analysis was performed using data from the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Zhengzhou City, the capital of Henan Province. A decision tree method was exploited to provide valuable insight into the correlation between imported malaria cases and healthcare institutions. Results: From 2012 to 2017, there were 371 imported malaria cases, mostly in males aged between 20 and 50 years, including 319 Plasmodium falciparum cases. First visits of 32.3%, 19.9% and 15.9% malaria cases for treatment were to provincial, municipal and county healthcare institutions, respectively. The time interval between onset and initial diagnosis of 284 cases (76.5%) and the time interval between initial diagnosis and final diagnosis of 197 cases (53.1%) was no more than 72 h. An apparent trend was found that there were notably fewer patients misdiagnosed at first visit to healthcare institutions of a higher administrative level; 12.5% of cases were misdiagnosed in provincial healthcare institutions compared to 98.2% in private clinics, leading to fewer complications at healthcare institutions of higher administrative level due to correct initial diagnosis. In the tree model, the rank of healthcare facilities for initial diagnosis, and number of days between onset and initial diagnosis, made a major contribution to the classification of initial diagnosis, which subsequently became the most significant factor influencing complications developed in the second tree model. The classification accuracy were 82.2 and 74.1%, respectively for the tree models of initial diagnosis and complications developed. Conclusion: Inadequate seeking medical care by imported malaria patients, and insufficient capacity to diagnose malaria by healthcare institutions of lower administrative level were identified as major factors influencing complications of imported malaria cases in Henan Province. The lack of connection between uncommon imported malaria
BackgroundOver 34 countries in Africa have introduced rotavirus vaccine to their national immunization programs: monovalent (Rotarix ® , RV1) and pentavalent (RotaTeq ® , RV5) after South Africa introduced it in 2009. Since then several studies assessing the impact of the vaccine have been conducted. The principal aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of rotavirus vaccine in sub-Saharan Africa. MethodsA Literature search was performed using Mendeley, PubMed, ScienceDirect, grey literature and Web of Science databases of published studies from January 1, 2017, as years of recent publications on rotavirus vaccine impact in sub-Saharan Africa. A meta-analysis was conducted for rotavirus infection in children under 5 years using proportions of pre and post-vaccine introduction in these populations. Random-effect estimates were considered since the samples were from universal populations. ResultsOut of the 935 articles identified, 17 studies met the inclusion for systematic review and metaanalysis. The pooled proportion for pre-vaccination period was 42%, 95% (CI: 38-46%), and reduced to 21%, 95% (CI: 17-25%) during post-vaccination period. Rotavirus diarrhea significantly reduced in children < 12 months as compared to children 12-24 months old. Seasonal peaks of rotavirus diarrhea were between June-September. However, data is limited to one year of post-vaccine introduction, and bias may present due to early vaccine impact. ConclusionWe observed that the introduction of the rotavirus vaccine was partly responsible for the significant reduction in the burden of rotavirus-associated diarrhea in sub-Saharan Africa.
BackgroundAir pollutants are considered as non-negligible risk factors of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the relationship between long-term air pollution and the incidence of IPF is unknown.ObjectiveTo explore the associations of air pollutants with IPF risk and further assess modification effect of genetic susceptibility.MethodsLand-use regression model estimated concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10). The polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed using 13 independent SNPs. The Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of air pollutants with IPF risk and further investigate the modification effect of genetic susceptibility. Additionally, absolute risk was calculated.ResultsAmong 433 738 participants from the UK Biobank, the incidence of IPF was 27.45/1 00 000 person-years during a median follow-up of 11.78 years. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) [95% confidence interval (CIs)] of IPF for each interquartile range increase in NO2, NOx, and PM2.5 were 1.11 (1.03, 1.19), 1.07 (1.01, 1.13), and 1.09 (1.02, 1.17), respectively. PM2.5 had the highest population attribution risk, followed by NOx and NO2. There were additive interactions between NO2, NOx and PM2.5 and genetic susceptibility. Participants with high PRS and high air pollution had the highest risk of incident IPF compared to those with low PRS and low air pollution [NO2: 3.94 (2.77, 5.60); NOx: 3.08 (2.21, 4.27); PM2.5: 3.65 (2.60, 5.13); PM10: 3.23 (2.32, 4.50)].ConclusionLong-term air pollutants exposures may elevate the risk of incident IPF. There are additive effects of air pollutants and genetic susceptibility on IPF risk.
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