Timely identification of emerging antigenic variants is critical to influenza vaccine design. The accuracy of a sequence-based antigenic prediction method relies on the choice of amino acids substitution matrices. In this study, we first compared a comprehensive 95 substitution matrices reflecting various amino acids properties in predicting the antigenicity of influenza viruses by a random forest model. We then proposed a novel algorithm called joint random forest regression (JRFR) to jointly consider top substitution matrices. We applied JRFR to human H3N2 seasonal influenza data from 1968 to 2003. A 10-fold cross-validation shows that JRFR outperforms other popular methods in predicting antigenic variants. In addition, our results suggest that structure features are most relevant to influenza antigenicity. By restricting the analysis to data involving two adjacent antigenic clusters, we inferred a few key amino acids mutation driving the 11 historical antigenic drift events, pointing to experimentally validated mutations. Finally, we constructed an antigenic cartography of all H3N2 viruses with hemagglutinin (the glycoprotein on the surface of the influenza virus responsible for its binding to host cells) sequence available from NCBI flu database, and showed an overall correspondence and local inconsistency between genetic and antigenic evolution of H3N2 influenza viruses.

Echinoderms are an exceptional group of bilaterians that develop pentameral adult symmetry from a bilaterally symmetric larva. However, the genetic basis in evolution and development of this unique transformation remains to be clarified. Here we report newly sequenced genomes, developmental transcriptomes, and proteomes of diverse echinoderms including the green sea urchin (L. variegatus), a sea cucumber (A. japonicus), and with particular emphasis on a sister group of the earliest-diverged echinoderms, the feather star (A. japonica). We learned that the last common ancestor of echinoderms retained a well-organized Hox cluster reminiscent of the hemichordate, and had gene sets involved in endoskeleton development. Further, unlike in other animal groups, the most conserved developmental stages were not at the body plan establishing phase, and genes normally involved in bilaterality appear to function in pentameric axis development. These results enhance our understanding of the divergence of protostomes and deuterostomes almost 500 Mya.

Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Species retaining ancestral features, such as species called living fossils, are often regarded as less derived than their sister groups, but such discussions are usually based on qualitative enumeration of conserved traits. This approach creates a major barrier, especially when quantifying the degree of phenotypic evolution or degree of derivedness, since it focuses only on commonly shared traits, and newly acquired or lost traits are often overlooked. To provide a potential solution to this problem, especially for inter-species comparison of gene expression profiles, we propose a new method named “derivedness index” to quantify the degree of derivedness. In contrast to the conservation-based approach, which deals with expressions of commonly shared genes among species being compared, the derivedness index also considers those that were potentially lost or duplicated during evolution. By applying our method, we found that the gene expression profiles of penta-radial phases in echinoderm tended to be more highly derived than those of the bilateral phase. However, our results suggest that echinoderms may not have experienced much larger modifications to their developmental systems than chordates, at least at the transcriptomic level. In vertebrates, we found that the mid-embryonic and organogenesis stages were generally less derived than the earlier or later stages, indicating that the conserved phylotypic period is also less derived. We also found genes that potentially explain less derivedness, such as Hox genes. Finally, we highlight technical concerns that may influence the measured transcriptomic derivedness, such as read depth and library preparation protocols, for further improvement of our method through future studies. We anticipate that this index will serve as a quantitative guide in the search for constrained developmental phases or processes.