BackgroundVarious prediction models have been developed to predict the risk of kidney failure in patients with CKD. However, guideline-recommended models have yet to be compared head to head, their validation in patients with advanced CKD is lacking, and most do not account for competing risks.MethodsTo externally validate 11 existing models of kidney failure, taking the competing risk of death into account, we included patients with advanced CKD from two large cohorts: the European Quality Study (EQUAL), an ongoing European prospective, multicenter cohort study of older patients with advanced CKD, and the Swedish Renal Registry (SRR), an ongoing registry of nephrology-referred patients with CKD in Sweden. The outcome of the models was kidney failure (defined as RRT-treated ESKD). We assessed model performance with discrimination and calibration.ResultsThe study included 1580 patients from EQUAL and 13,489 patients from SRR. The average c statistic over the 11 validated models was 0.74 in EQUAL and 0.80 in SRR, compared with 0.89 in previous validations. Most models with longer prediction horizons overestimated the risk of kidney failure considerably. The 5-year Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) overpredicted risk by 10%–18%. The four- and eight-variable 2-year KFRE and the 4-year Grams model showed excellent calibration and good discrimination in both cohorts.ConclusionsSome existing models can accurately predict kidney failure in patients with advanced CKD. KFRE performed well for a shorter time frame (2 years), despite not accounting for competing events. Models predicting over a longer time frame (5 years) overestimated risk because of the competing risk of death. The Grams model, which accounts for the latter, is suitable for longer-term predictions (4 years).

Background People with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk of polypharmacy. However, no previous study has investigated international prescribing patterns in this group. This article aims to examine prescribing and polypharmacy patterns among older people with advanced CKD across the countries involved in the European Quality (EQUAL) study. Methods The EQUAL study is an international prospective cohort study of patients ≥65 years of age with advanced CKD. Baseline demographic, clinical and medication data were analysed and reported descriptively. Polypharmacy was defined as ≥5 medications and hyperpolypharmacy as ≥10. Univariable and multivariable linear regressions were used to determine associations between country and the number of prescribed medications. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine associations between country and hyperpolypharmacy. Results Of the 1317 participants from five European countries, 91% were experiencing polypharmacy and 43% were experiencing hyperpolypharmacy. Cardiovascular medications were the most prescribed medications (mean 3.5 per person). There were international differences in prescribing, with significantly greater hyperpolypharmacy in Germany {odds ratio (OR) 2.75 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.73–4.37]; P < 0.001, reference group UK}, the Netherlands [OR 1.91 (95% CI 1.32–2.76); P = 0.001] and Italy [OR 1.57 (95% CI 1.15–2.15); P = 0.004]. People in Poland experienced the least hyperpolypharmacy [OR 0.39 (95% CI 0.17–0.87); P = 0.021]. Conclusions Hyperpolypharmacy is common among older people with advanced CKD, with significant international differences in the number of medications prescribed. Practice variation may represent a lack of consensus regarding appropriate prescribing for this high-risk group for whom pharmacological treatment has great potential for harm as well as benefit.

Background and objectivesFor older patients with kidney failure, lowering symptom burden may be more important than prolonging life. Dialysis initiation may affect individual kidney failure–related symptoms differently, but the change in symptoms before and after start of dialysis has not been studied. Therefore, we investigated the course of total and individual symptom number and burden before and after starting dialysis in older patients.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsThe European Quality (EQUAL) study is an ongoing, prospective, multicenter study in patients ≥65 years with an incident eGFR ≤20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Using the dialysis symptom index (DSI), 30 symptoms were assessed every 3–6 months between 2012 and 2021. Scores for symptom number range from zero to 30 and, for burden, from zero to 150, with higher scores indicating more severity. Using mixed effects models, we studied symptoms during the year preceding and the year after dialysis initiation.ResultsWe included 456 incident patients on dialysis who filled out at least one DSI during the year before or after dialysis. At dialysis initiation, mean (SD) participant age was 76 (6) years, 75% were men, mean (SD) eGFR was 8 (3) ml/min per 1.73 m2, 44% had diabetes, and 46% had cardiovascular disease. In the year before dialysis initiation, symptom number increased +3.6 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], +2.5 to +4.6) and symptom burden increased +13.3 (95% CI, +9.5 to +17.0). In the year after, symptom number changed −0.9 (95% CI, −3.4 to +1.5) and burden decreased −5.9 (95% CI, −14.9 to −3.0). At dialysis initiation, “fatigue,” “decreased interest in sex,” and “difficulty becoming sexually aroused” had the highest prevalence of 81%, 69%, and 68%, respectively, with a burden of 2.7, 2.4, and 2.3, respectively. “Fatigue” somewhat improved after dialysis initiation, whereas the prevalence and burden of sexual symptoms further increased.ConclusionsSymptom burden worsened considerably before and stabilized after dialysis initiation. “Fatigue,” “decreased interest in sex,” and “difficulty becoming sexually aroused” were considered most burdensome, of which only “fatigue” somewhat improved after dialysis initiation.

In renal transplant patients, daytime and night-time SBP predict the risk of GFR loss overtime, and among the various BP metrics, night-time BP is the strongest indicator of the risk of renal function loss. Optimization of BP control and interventions targeting night-time BP may afford renal benefits in transplant patients, a hypothesis that remains to be tested in a clinical trial.

Abstract Background Renal transplant patients have a high prevalence of nocturnal hypertension, and hypertension misclassification by office blood pressure (BP) is quite common in these patients. The potential impact of hypertension misclassification by office BP on hypertension management in this population has never been analysed. Methods We performed a longitudinal study in a cohort of 260 clinically stable renal transplant patients. In all, 785 paired office and 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (24-hABPM) measurements over a median follow-up of 3.9 years were available in the whole cohort. Results A total of 74% of patients had nocturnal hypertension (>120/70 mmHg). Average office BP and 24-hABPM remained quite stable over follow-up, as did the prevalence of nocturnal hypertension, which was 77% at the last observation. However, the global agreement between office BP and average 24 h, daytime and night-time BP was unsatisfactory (k-statistics 0.10–0.26). In 193 visits (25% of all visits) where office BP indicated the need of antihypertensive therapy institution or modification (BP >140/90 mmHg), 24-hABPM was actually normal (<130/80 mmHg), while in 94 visits (12%), 24-hABPM was in the hypertensive range while office BP was normal. Overall, in 37% of visits, office BP provided misleading therapeutic indications. Conclusions Hypertension misclassification by office BP is a common phenomenon in stable renal transplant patients on long-term follow-up. Office BP may lead to inappropriate therapeutic decisions in over one-third of follow-up visits in these patients.