Ninety-nine patients with acute pancreatitis in whom body mass index (BMI = weight (kg)/height2 (m2)) was measured were studied prospectively to determine the importance of obesity as a prognostic factor in this disease. Of 19 obese patients (BMI > or = 30 kg/m2), 12 developed severe pancreatitis; seven had abscesses, of whom five died, and two further patients died. In 80 non-obese patients, the incidence of severe pancreatitis (n = 5), abscess formation (n = 4) and death (n = 4) was significantly less (P = 0.0007). The mean(s.d.) BMI of 17 patients with severe acute pancreatitis was significantly higher than that in 82 patients with mild acute disease (31.2(5.6) versus 23.3(5.6) kg/m2, P < 0.001). As a single prognostic factor, obesity had a sensitivity of 63 per cent and a specificity of 95 per cent for predicting disease severity. When five obese women with gallstone pancreatitis were excluded, the sensitivity of obesity increased to 86 per cent. Severe pancreatitis occurred in all eight obese patients with disease of an alcoholic aetiology. These data suggest that increased fat deposits in the peripancreatic and retroperitoneal spaces in obese patients may increase the risk of peripancreatic fat necrosis, abscess and death. Consideration should be given to including obesity as a prognostic factor in acute pancreatitis.
Gastric acid is of central importance in the pathogenesis of duodenal ulcer, gastric ulcer, and gastroesophageal reflux disease. Pharmacological reduction of acid secretion is, therefore, the mainstay of current treatment, but the optimal degree of acid suppression remains incompletely understood. This paper considers the ideal ways of assessing and reporting the pharmacological effectiveness of acid-inhibiting drugs and relating such data to clinical efficacy. Twenty-four-hour intragastric pH measurements are widely used for this purpose, although this technique cannot measure secretion quantitatively. Data on suppression of 24-hr intragastric acidity for groups of subjects have been successfully correlated with healing rates for duodenal ulcer, gastric ulcer, and gastroesophageal reflux disease. Three primary determinants of healing have been derived from antisecretory data. These are the degree of suppression of acidity, the duration of suppression of acidity, and the duration of treatment. The order of importance of these determinants varies depending on the disease. Data on 24-hr intragastric acidity should be accompanied whenever possible by data on 24-hr plasma gastrin levels, as the relationship between suppression of acidity and a rise in gastrin varies widely between individuals. It is not possible to predict the plasma gastrin level from the intragastric pH or any other measurement of intragastric acidity. Comparative data sets in groups of subjects may provide useful information. Proton pump inhibitors produce a greater and longer-lasting degree of suppression of acidity than conventional doses of H2-receptor antagonists. For this reason, they are more effective in healing duodenal ulcer and gastric ulcer. However, in view of the importance of duration of treatment, healing rates with the H2-receptor antagonists approach those obtained with proton pump inhibitors if treatment is continued for a longer time. In gastroesophageal reflux disease in particular, although the optimal degree of acid suppression is not yet defined, the consistently superior performance of proton pump inhibitors demonstrates that increased suppression of acidity is clinically beneficial.
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