A single measurement of BCR-ABL1 transcripts performed at 3 months is the best way to identify patients destined to fare poorly, thereby allowing early clinical intervention.

The majority of patients with chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase gain substantial benefit from imatinib but some fail to respond or lose their initial response. In 2006, the European LeukemiaNet published recommendations designed to help identify patients responding poorly to imatinib. Patients were evaluated at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months and some were classified as "failure" or "suboptimal responders." We analyzed outcomes for 224 patients with chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase treated in a single institution to validate these recommendations. Patients were followed for a median of 46.1 months. At each time point, patients classified as "failure" showed significantly worse survival, progression-free survival, and cytogenetic response than other patients; for example, based on the assessment at 12 months, the 5-year survival was 87.1% versus 95.1% (P ‫؍‬ .02), progression-free survival 76.% versus 90% (P ‫؍‬ .002), and complete cytogenetic response rate 26.7% versus 94.1% (P < .001). Similarly, the criteria for "suboptimal response" at 6 and 12 months identified patients destined to fare badly, although criteria at 18 months were less useful. The predictive value of some other individual criteria varied. In general, the LeukemiaNet criteria have useful predictive value, but a case could now be made for combining the categories "failure" and "suboptimal response." (Blood. 2008;112:4437-4444)

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