In the assessment of performance of a prediction model, calibration is more important than discriminative capacity. Our prediction model shows that for women with gestational hypertension or mild preeclampsia at term, distinction between low and high risk of developing postpartum hemorrhage is possible when antepartum and intrapartum variables are combined.

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BackgroundPatients with ectopic pregnancy (EP) and low serum hCG concentrations and women with a pregnancy of unknown location (PUL) and plateauing serum hCG levels are commonly treated with systemic methotrexate (MTX). However, there is no evidence that treatment in these particular subgroups of women is necessary as many of these early EPs may resolve spontaneously. The aim of this study is whether expectant management in women with EP or PUL and with low but plateauing serum hCG concentrations is an alternative to MTX treatment in terms of treatment success, future pregnancy, health related quality of life and costs.Methods/DesignA multicentre randomised controlled trial in The Netherlands. Hemodynamically stable patients with an EP visible on transvaginal ultrasound and a plateauing serum hCG concentration < 1,500 IU/L or with a persisting PUL with plateauing serum hCG concentrations < 2,000 IU/L are eligible for the trial. Patients with a viable EP, signs of tubal rupture/abdominal bleeding, or a contra-indication for MTX will not be included. Expectant management is compared with systemic MTX in a single dose intramuscular regimen (1 mg/kg) in an outpatient setting. Serum hCG levels are monitored weekly; in case of inadequately declining, systemic MTX is installed or continued. In case of hemodynamic instability and/or signs of tubal rupture, surgery is performed. The primary outcome measure is an uneventful decline of serum hCG to an undetectable level by the initial intervention. Secondary outcomes are (re)interventions (additional systemic MTX injections and/or surgery), treatment complications, health related quality of life, financial costs, and future fertility. Analysis is performed according to the intention to treat principle. Quality of life is assessed by questionnaires before and at three time points after randomisation. Costs are expressed as direct costs with data on costs and used resources in the participating centres. Fertility is assessed by questionnaires after 6, 12, 18 and 24 months. Patients' preferences will be assessed using a discrete choice experiment.DiscussionThis trial will provide guidance on the present management dilemmas in women with EPs and PULs with low and plateauing serum hCG concentrations.Trial registrationCurrent Controlled Trials ISRCTN 48210491

The incidence of multiple pregnancy has increased significantly in recent years as a result of assisted reproductive therapy. The most important complication of these pregnancies remains preterm delivery. We report an extraordinary case of delayed delivery after late abortion of the first twin. Tocolysis successfully prolonged the pregnancy for more than three months, and combined with antibiotics and corticosteroids resulted in a term delivery of a second healthy sibling. A total of 37 reports that describe 145 cases of intentional delayed delivery are available. Delay of delivery may offer significant improvement in survival and outcome for the remaining fetus. Delay of delivery beyond 37 weeks is uncommon with only eight reports. A protocol for the procedure of delayed delivery of the second twin is suggested.