Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have the potential to identify individuals at risk of diseases, optimizing treatment, and predicting survival outcomes. Here, we construct and validate a genome-wide association study (GWAS) derived PRS for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), using a multi-center study of six populations (6 059 NPC cases and 7 582 controls), and evaluate its utility in a nested case-control study. We show that the PRS enables effective identification of NPC high-risk individuals (AUC = 0.65) and improves the risk prediction with the PRS incremental deciles in each population (Ptrend ranging from 2.79 × 10−7 to 4.79 × 10−44). By incorporating the PRS into EBV-serology-based NPC screening, the test’s positive predictive value (PPV) is increased from an average of 4.84% to 8.38% and 11.91% in the top 10% and 5% PRS, respectively. In summary, the GWAS-derived PRS, together with the EBV test, significantly improves NPC risk stratification and informs personalized screening.

Background Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is closely associated with genetic factors and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, showing significant familial aggregation. Individuals with a family history suffer elevated NPC risk, requiring effective genetic counseling for risk stratification and individualized prevention. Methods We performed whole-exome sequencing on 502 familial NPC patients and 404 unaffected relatives and controls. We systematically evaluated the established cancer predisposition genes and investigated novel NPC susceptibility genes, making comparisons with other 21 familial cancers in the UK biobank (N = 5218). Results Rare pathogenic mutations in the established cancer predisposition genes were observed in familial NPC patients, including ERCC2 (1.39%), TP63 (1.00%), MUTYH (0.80%) and BRCA1 (0.80%). Additionally, six novel susceptibility genes were identified. RAD54L involved in DNA repair pathway together with ERCC2, MUTYH, and BRCA1, showed the highest frequency (4.18%) in familial NPC. Enrichment analysis found mutations in TP63 were enriched in familial NPC, while RAD54L and EML2 were enriched in both NPC and other EBV-associated cancers. Besides rare variants, common variants reported in the studies of sporadic NPC were also associated with familial NPC risk. Individuals in the top quantile of common variant-derived genetic risk score (GRSC) while carrying rare variants exhibited increased NPC risk (OR = 13.47, 95% CI: 6.33–28.68, P = 1.48 × 10–11); males in this risk group showed cumulative lifetime risk of 24.19%, much higher than those in the bottom GRSC quantile and without rare variants (2.04%). Conclusions This study expands the catalog of NPC susceptibility genes and provides the potential for risk stratification of individuals with an NPC family history.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), the most common head and neck cancer, is characterized by distinct geographic distribution and familial aggregation. Multiple risk factors, including host genetics, environmental factor, and EBV infection, have been linked to the development of NPC, particularly in the familial clustering cases. However, the cause of NPC endemicity remains enigmatic due possibly to the complicated interplay between these risk factors. Recently, positive Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA loads at nasopharyngeal (NP) cavity has been found to reflect NPC development and applied in NPC screening. To examine whether the increased NP EBV loads could aggregate in the families and be affected by host genetics and environmental factor, EBV loads were obtained by 510 NP brushing samples from eligible unaffected individuals, who have two or more relatives affected with NPC, in 116 high‐risk NPC families. The correlation of relative pairs was estimated using S.A.G.E. (version 6.4, 2016), and host heritability of NP EBV loads was calculated with variance component models using SOLAR (version 8.4.2, 2019). In result, significant correlations of EBV loads were observed between parent‐offspring pairs and sibling‐sibling pairs (P < .001), but not in distant kin relationship pairs. Interestingly, after excluding the shared environmental factor within families, host genetics contributes significantly to NP EBV loads with a heritability of 56.41% (P = 1.00 × 10−7), and its effect was slightly elevated (68.86%, P = 3.40 × 10−6) in families with more NPC cases (≥3). These findings indicate that additional host‐genetic variants involved in the EBV local NP mucosal behavior may be especially important for the development of NPC.

Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), an Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) associated cancer, exhibits an extremely high incidence in southern Chinese. Given that human leukocyte antigen (HLA) plays critical roles in antigen presentation and relates to NPC susceptibility, it is speculated that certain HLA variants may affect EBV reactivation, which is a key pathogenic factor of NPC. Therefore, we attempted to identify HLA alleles associated with the indicator of EBV reactivation, Zta-IgA, in healthy males from NPC endemic area.Methods: HLA alleles of 1078 healthy males in southern China from the 21-RCCP study were imputed using genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism data. EBV Zta-IgA in blood samples were measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect of HLA allele on Zta-IgA serological status and its potential joint association with smoking.The binding affinity for Zta-peptide was predicted using NetMHCIIpan 4.0.Results: HLA-DRB1*09:01 was found to be associated with a higher risk of Zta-IgA seropositivity (odds ratio = 1.80, 95% confidence interval = 1.32-2.45; p = 1.82 Â 10 À4 ). Compared with non-smokers without HLA-DRB1*09:01, the effect size increased to 2.19-and 3.70-fold for the light and heavy smokers carrying HLA-DRB1*09:01, respectively. Furthermore, HLA-DRB1*09:01 showed a stronger binding affinity to Zta peptide than other HLA-DRB1 alleles.Conclusions: Our study highlighted the pivotal role of genetic HLA variants in EBV reactivation and the etiology of NPC. Smokers with HLA-DRB1*09:01 have a significantly higher risk of being Zta-IgA seropositive, which indicates the necessity of smoking cessation in certain high-risk populations and also provide clues for further research on the etiology of NPC.