Summary Background and Aims To assess whether corticosteroids improve prognosis in patients with AS‐AIH, and to identify factors at therapy initiation and during therapy predictive of the response to corticosteroids. Methods This was a retrospective cohort study including all patients with AS‐AIH admitted to 13 tertiary centres from January 2002 to January 2019. The composite primary outcome was death or liver transplantation within 90 days of admission. Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression methods were used for data analysis. Results Of 242 consecutive patients enrolled (mean age [SD] 49.7 [16.8] years), 203 received corticosteroids. Overall 90‐day transplant‐free survival was 61.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 55.4–67.7). Corticosteroids reduced the risk of a poor outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.25; 95% CI 0.2–0.4), but this treatment failed in 30.5%. An internally validated nomogram composed of older age, MELD, encephalopathy and ascites at the initiation of corticosteroids accurately predicted the response (C‐index 0.82; [95% CI 0.8–0.9]). In responders, MELD significantly improved from days 3 to 14 but remained unchanged in non‐responders. MELD on day 7 with a cut‐off of 25 (sensitivity 62.5%[95% CI: 47.0–75.8]; specificity 95.2% [95% CI: 89.9–97.8]) was the best univariate predictor of the response. Prolonging corticosteroids did not increase the overall infection risk (adjusted HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.3–2.1). Conclusion Older patients with high MELD, encephalopathy or ascites at steroid therapy initiation and during treatment are unlikely to show a favourable response and so prolonged therapy in these patients, especially if they are transplantation candidates, should be avoided.
Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a major non–AIDS-defining condition for persons living with HIV (PLWHIV). We aimed to validate noninvasive tests for the diagnosis of NAFLD in PLWHIV. Methods Cross-sectional study of PLWHIV on stable ART with persistently elevated transaminases and no known liver disease. The AUROC was calculated to compare the diagnostic accuracy of liver biopsy with abdominal ultrasound, transient elastography (including CAP), and noninvasive markers of steatosis (TyG, HSI, FLI) and fibrosis (FIB-4, APRI, NAFLD fibrosis score). We developed a diagnostic algorithm with serial combinations of markers. Results Of 146 patients with increased transaminase levels, 69 underwent liver biopsy (90% steatosis, 61% steatohepatitis, and 4% F≥3). The AUROC for steatosis was: ultrasound, 0.90 (0.75–1); CAP, 0.94 (0.88–1); FLI, 0.81 (0.58–1); HSI, 0.74 (0.62–0.87); and TyG, 0.75 (0.49– 1). For liver fibrosis ≥ F3, the AUROC for TE, APRI, FIB-4, and NAFLD fibrosis score was 0.92 (0.82–1), 0.96 (0.90–1), 0.97 (0.93–1), and 0.85 (0.68–1). Optimal diagnostic performance for liver steatosis was for 2 noninvasive combined models of tests with TyG and FLI/HSI as the first tests and ultrasound or CAP as the second tests: AUROC, 0.99 (0.97–1, P < 0.001) and 0.92 (0.77–1, P < 0.001). Conclusions Ultrasound and CAP performed best in diagnosing liver steatosis, and FLI, TyG, and HSI performed well. We propose an easy-to-implement algorithm with TyG or FLI as the first test and ultrasound or CAP as the second test to accurately diagnose or exclude NAFLD.
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