Purpose
The clinical outcome of multiple myeloma (MM) is heterogeneous. A simple and reliable tool is needed to stratify MM patients. We combined the International Staging System (ISS) with chromosomal abnormalities (CA) detected by interphase Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization (iFISH) after CD138 plasma cells purification and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) to evaluate their prognostic value in newly diagnosed MM (NDMM).
Methods
Clinical and laboratory data from 4445 NDMM patients enrolled in eleven international trials were pooled together. The K-adaptive partitioning algorithm was used to define the most appropriate subgroups with homogeneous survival.
Results
ISS, CA, and LDH data were simultaneously available in 3060/4445 patients. We defined three groups: revised ISS (R-ISS) I (N=871), including ISS I (serum β2-microglobulin level <3.5mg/L and serum albumin level ≥3.5g/dL), no high-risk CA [del(17p) and/or t(4;14) and/or t(14;16)] and normal LDH level (below the upper limit of normal range); R-ISS III (N=295), including ISS III (serum β2-microglobulin level >5.5mg/L) and high-risk CA or high LDH level; R-ISS II (N=1894), including all the other possible combinations. At a median follow-up of 46 months, the 5-year OS was 82% in the R-ISS I, 62% in the R-ISS II, and 40% in the R-ISS III groups; the 5-year PFS was 55%, 36% and 24%, respectively.
Conclusions
The R-ISS is a simple and powerful prognostic staging system and we recommend its use in future clinical studies to stratify NDMM patients effectively with respect to the relative risk to their survival.
We conducted a pooled analysis of 869 individual newly diagnosed elderly patient data from 3 prospective trials. At diagnosis, a geriatric assessment had been performed. An additive scoring system (range 0-5), based on age, comorbidities, and cognitive and physical conditions, was developed to identify 3 groups: fit (score = 0, 39%), intermediate fitness (score = 1, 31%), and frail (score ≥2, 30%). The 3-year overall survival was 84% in fit, 76% in intermediate-fitness (hazard ratio [HR], 1.61; P = .042), and 57% in frail (HR, 3.57; P < .001) patients. The cumulative incidence of grade ≥3 nonhematologic adverse events at 12 months was 22.2% in fit, 26.4% in intermediate-fitness (HR, 1.23; P = .217), and 34.0% in frail (HR, 1.74; P < .001) patients. The cumulative incidence of treatment discontinuation at 12 months was 16.5% in fit, 20.8% in intermediate-fitness (HR, 1.41; P = .052), and 31.2% in frail (HR, 2.21; P < .001) patients. Our frailty score predicts mortality and the risk of toxicity in elderly myeloma patients. The International Myeloma Working group proposes this score for the measurement of frailty in designing future clinical trials. These trials are registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01093136 (EMN01), #NCT01190787 (26866138MMY2069), and #NCT01346787 (IST-CAR-506).
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