E2 attenuates hemodynamic and remodeling parameters in HPH in an ER-dependent manner, through direct antiproliferative mechanisms on vascular cells, which may provide novel nonhormonal therapeutic targets for HPH.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary arterial hypertension is a progressive, fatal disease. Published treatment guidelines recommend treatment escalation on the basis of regular patient assessment with the goal of achieving or maintaining low-risk status. Various strategies are available to determine risk status. This analysis describes an update of the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) risk calculator (REVEAL 2.0) and compares it with recently published European Society of Cardiology/ Respiratory Society guideline-derived risk assessment strategies. METHODS: A subpopulation from the US-based registry REVEAL that survived $ 1 year postenrollment (baseline for this cohort) was analyzed. For REVEAL 2.0, point values and cutpoints were reassessed, and new variables were evaluated. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival at 12 months postbaseline; discrimination was quantified using the c-statistic. Mortality estimates and discrimination were compared between REVEAL 2.0 and Comparative, Prospective Registry of Newly Initiated Therapies for Pulmonary Hypertension (COMPERA) and French Pulmonary Hypertension Registry (FPHR) risk assessment strategies. For this comparison, a three-category REVEAL 2.0 score was computed in which patients were classified as low-, intermediate-, or high-risk. RESULTS: REVEAL 2.0 demonstrated similar discrimination as the original calculator in this subpopulation (c-statistic ¼ 0.76 vs 0.74), provided excellent separation of risk among the risk categories, and predicted clinical worsening as well as mortality in patients who were followed $ 1 year. The REVEAL 2.0 three-category score had greater discrimination (c-statistic ¼ 0.73) than COMPERA (c-statistic ¼ 0.62) or FPHR (c-statistic ¼ 0.64). Compared with REVEAL 2.0, COMPERA and FPHR both underestimated and overestimated risk. CONCLUSIONS: REVEAL 2.0 demonstrates greater risk discrimination than the COMPERA and FPHR risk assessment strategies in patients enrolled in REVEAL. After external validation, the REVEAL 2.0 calculator can assist clinicians and patients in making informed treatment decisions on the basis of individual risk profiles.

Background Achievement of low-risk status is a treatment goal in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Risk assessment is often performed using multiparameter tools, such as the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) risk calculator. Risk calculators that assess fewer variables without compromising validity may expedite risk assessment in the routine clinic setting. We describe the development and validation of REVEAL Lite 2, an abridged version of REVEAL 2.0. Research Questions To develop and validate a simplified version of the REVEAL 2.0 risk assessment calculator for patients with PAH. Study Design and Methods: REVEAL Lite 2 includes six non-invasive variables: functional class (FC), vital signs (systolic blood pressure [SBP] and heart rate), six-minute walk distance (6MWD), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP)/ N -terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and renal insufficiency (by estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]) and was validated in a series of analyses (Kaplan–Meier, concordance index, Cox proportional-hazard model and multivariate analysis). Results REVEAL Lite 2 approximates REVEAL 2.0 at discriminating low, intermediate, and high risk for 1-year mortality in patients in the REVEAL registry. The model indicated that the most highly predictive REVEAL Lite 2 parameter was BNP/NT-proBNP, followed by 6MWD and FC. Even if multiple, less predictive variables (heart rate, SBP, eGFR) were missing, REVEAL Lite 2 still discriminated among risk groups. Interpretation REVEAL Lite 2, an abridged version of REVEAL 2.0, provides a simplified method of risk assessment that can be implemented routinely in daily clinical practice. REVEAL Lite 2 is a robust tool that provides discrimination between patients at low, intermediate, and high risk of 1-year mortality.