In order to assess potential risk factors for pneumonia within the first 8 d of ventilation, we studied 83 consecutive intubated patients undergoing continuous aspiration of subglottic secretions (CASS). Multivariate analysis showed the protective effect of antibiotic use (relative risk [RR] = 0.10; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.01 to 0.71), whereas failure of the CASS technique (RR = 5.29; 95% CI = 1.24 to 22.64) was associated with a greater risk of pneumonia. In addition, there was a trend toward a higher risk of pneumonia (RR = 2.57; 95% CI = 0.78 to 8.03) among patients with persistent intracuff pressures below 20 cm H2O. The remaining factors analyzed were not significant. Failure of CASS did not influence the development of pneumonia among patients undergoing antibiotic treatment (33.0% versus 38.5%, p > 0.20), but was strongly associated with pneumonia (42.1% versus 8.3%, p < 0.01) among intubated patients not receiving antibiotics. When multivariate analysis was repeated in this subpopulation, failure of CASS (RR = 7.52, 95% CI = 1.48 to 38.07) and persistent intracuff pressure below 20 cm H2O (RR = 4.23, 95% CI = 1.12 to 15.92) were factors independently associated with the development of pneumonia. We conclude that leakage of colonized subglottic secretions around the cuff of the endotracheal tube is the most important risk factor for pneumonia within the first 8 d of intubation. This study confirms the importance of maintaining adequate intracuff pressure and effective aspiration of subglottic secretions in preventing pneumonia in intubated patients not receiving antibiotic treatment.

Thirty consecutively intubated patients with pneumonia due to Pseudomonas aeruginosa (cases) were prospectively observed to establish the attributable mortality rate and the prognostic value of APACHE (Acute Physiological and Chronic Health Evaluation) II scores. Four cases did not receive accurate empirical therapy and were excluded from the study. APACHE II scores were calculated within 24 hours of admission (T0), at the time of the diagnosis of pneumonia (T1), and after 72 hours of therapy (T2). The outcomes for these cases (n = 26) were compared with those for matched controls (n = 52) without pneumonia. Six cases died of causes directly related to pneumonia (group D). Two cases whose conditions clinically improved died of cardiac complications, and 18 cases had clinical resolution (group R); however, only 15 of these cases were alive at discharge. The mean APACHE II score at admission was similar (P > .20) for group R, group D, and controls. In contrast, the mean score at T1 (15.40 +/- 6.07 vs. 20.83 +/- 4.66; P < .05) and the mean score at T2 (10.40 +/- 3.57 vs. 25.50 +/- 3.93; P < .01) differed significantly for groups R and D, respectively. The overall observed and predicted mortality rates among cases and controls were 42.3% and 28.1% and 28.8% and 28.7%, respectively, while the attributable mortality rate among cases was estimated to be 13.5% (95% confidence interval, 1.95%-25.04%). We conclude that the attributable mortality rate among intubated patients with pneumonia due to P. aeruginosa is high. The APACHE II score at admission is not useful as a prognostic factor, while progression of organ dysfunction after the onset of pneumonia is an ominous sign.

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