Our aim is to determine the optimal time schedule for home blood pressure (BP) monitoring that best predicts stroke and coronary artery disease in general practice. The Japan Morning Surge-Home Blood Pressure (J-HOP) study is a nationwide practice-based study that included 4310 Japanese with a history of or risk factors for cardiovascular disease, or both (mean age, 65 years; 79% used antihypertensive medication). Home BP measures were taken twice daily (morning and evening) over 14 days at baseline. During a mean follow-up of 4 years (16 929 person-years), 74 stroke and 77 coronary artery disease events occurred. Morning systolic BP (SBP) improved the discrimination of incident stroke (
C
statistics, 0.802; 95% confidence interval, 0.692–0.911) beyond traditional risk factors including office SBP (0.756; 0.646–0.866), whereas the changes were smaller with evening SBP (0.764; 0.653–0.874). The addition of evening SBP to the model (including traditional risk factors plus morning SBP) significantly reduced the discrimination of incident stroke (
C
statistics difference, −0.008; 95% confidence interval: −0.015 to −0.008;
P
=0.03). The category-free net reclassification improvement (0.3606; 95% confidence interval, 0.1317–0.5896), absolute integrated discrimination improvement (0.015; SE, 0.005), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (58.3%; all
P
<0.01) with the addition of morning SBP to the model (including traditional risk factors) were greater than those with evening SBP and with combined morning and evening SBP. Neither morning nor evening SBP improved coronary artery disease risk prediction. Morning home SBP itself should be evaluated to ensure best stroke prediction in clinical practice, at least in Japan. This should be confirmed in the different ethnic groups.
Clinical Trial Registration—
URL:
http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/
. Unique identifier: UMIN000000894.
Morning BP and evening BP provide equally useful information for subclinical target organ damage, yet multivariate modeling highlighted the stand-alone predictive ability of morning BP.
JCS-certified teaching hospitals, revealed that the 30-day mortality of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with cardiogenic shock was as high as 34%, which remains a challenge in emergency cardiovascular medicine. 3,4 Because comprehensive management of cardiogenic shock state as well as early reperfusion therapy is vitally important for the treatment of AMI with cardiogenic shock (i.e., Killip class IV), functionally sufficient medical facilities T he in-hospital mortality rate of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been decreased to 4-5% owing to the spread of coronary care units and the generalization of emergency coronary reperfusion therapy. 1,2 However, a recent report from the Japanese Circulation Society (JCS) Cardiovascular Shock Registry (2012-2015), a prospective, observational, multicenter, cohort study that accumulated 979 cardiovascular shock patients among
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