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SummaryBackgroundInfliximab and adalimumab have established roles in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) therapy. UK regulators mandate reassessment after 12 months' anti‐TNF therapy for IBD, with consideration of treatment withdrawal. There is a need for more data to establish the relapse rates following treatment cessation.AimTo establish outcomes following anti‐TNF withdrawal for sustained remission using new data from a large UK cohort, and assimilation of all available literature for systematic review and meta‐analysis.MethodsA retrospective observational study was performed on 166 patients with IBD (146 with Crohn's disease (CD) and 20 with ulcerative colitis [UC) and IBD unclassified (IBDU)] withdrawn from anti‐TNF for sustained remission. Meta‐analysis was undertaken of all published studies incorporating 11 further cohorts totalling 746 patients (624 CD, 122 UC).ResultsRelapse rates in the UK cohort were 36% by 1 year and 56% by 2 years for CD, and 42% by 1 year and 47% by 2 years for UC/IBDU. Increased relapse risk in CD was associated with age at diagnosis [hazard ratio (HR) 2.78 for age <22 years], white cell count (HR 3.22 for >5.25 × 109/L) and faecal calprotectin (HR 2.95 for >50 μg/g) at drug withdrawal. Neither continued immunomodulators nor endoscopic remission were predictors. In the meta‐analysis, estimated 1‐year relapse rates were 39% and 35% for CD and UC/IBDU respectively. Retreatment with anti‐TNF was successful in 88% for CD and 76% UC/IBDU.ConclusionsAssimilation of all available data reveals remarkable homogeneity. Approximately one‐third of patients with IBD flare within 12 months of withdrawal of anti‐TNF therapy for sustained remission.

Background While immunosuppression poses a theoretical increase in the risk of COVID‐19, the nature of this relationship is yet to be ascertained. Aims To determine whether immunosuppressed patients are at higher risk of COVID‐19 to help inform the management of patients receiving immunosuppressant therapies during the pandemic. Methods We performed a random‐effects meta‐analysis of data from studies that reported on the prevalence of immunosuppression among patient cohorts with COVID‐19. Results Sixty full‐text publications were identified. In total, six individual studies were included in the final analysis, contributing a total of 10 049 patients with COVID‐19 disease. The prevalence of immunosuppressed patients among the study cohorts with COVID‐19 ranged from 0.126% to 1.357%. In the pooled cohort a total of 64/10 049 (0.637%) patients with COVID‐19 disease was immunosuppressed. Observed to expected ratios were used to compare the prevalence of immunosuppression in cohorts with confirmed COVID‐19 disease to the background prevalence of immunosuppression in the general community. The observed to expected ratio of immunosuppression among patients with COVID‐19 illness, relative to the general community, was 0.12 (95% confidence interval: 0.05–0.27). Conclusions Compared to the general population, immunosuppressed patients were not at significantly increased risk of COVID‐19 infection. This finding provides support for current expert consensus statements, which have recommended the continuation of immunosuppressant therapy in the absence of COVID‐19.

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