IMPORTANCE Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most common mode of death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), but there is no validated algorithm to identify those at highest risk. OBJECTIVE To develop and validate an SCD risk prediction model that provides individualized risk estimates. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A prognostic model was developed from a retrospective, multicenter, longitudinal cohort study of 1024 consecutively evaluated patients aged 16 years or younger with HCM. The study was conducted from January 1, 1970, to December 31, 2017. EXPOSURES The model was developed using preselected predictor variables (unexplained syncope, maximal left-ventricular wall thickness, left atrial diameter, left-ventricular outflow tract gradient, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia) identified from the literature and internally validated using bootstrapping. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES A composite outcome of SCD or an equivalent event (aborted cardiac arrest, appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy, or sustained ventricular tachycardia associated with hemodynamic compromise). RESULTS Of the 1024 patients included in the study, 699 were boys (68.3%); mean (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 11 (7-14) years. Over a median follow-up of 5.3 years (IQR, 2.6-8.3; total patient years, 5984), 89 patients (8.7%) died suddenly or had an equivalent event (annual event rate, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.15-1.92). The pediatric model was developed using preselected variables to predict the risk of SCD. The model's ability to predict risk at 5 years was validated; the C statistic was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66-0.72), and the calibration slope was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.59-1.38). For every 10 implantable cardioverter defibrillators implanted in patients with 6% or more of a 5-year SCD risk, 1 patient may potentially be saved from SCD at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE This new, validated risk stratification model for SCD in childhood HCM may provide individualized estimates of risk at 5 years using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation studies are required to demonstrate the accuracy of this model's predictions in diverse patient populations.
Background Catecholaminergic polymorphic ventricular tachycardia (CPVT) is an uncommon, potentially lethal, ion channelopathy. Standard therapies have high failure rates and little is known about treatment in children. Newer options such as flecainide and left cardiac sympathetic denervation (LCSD) are not well validated. We sought to define treatment outcomes in children with CPVT. Methods and Results This is a Pediatric and Congenital Electrophysiology Society (PACES) multicenter, retrospective cohort study of CPVT patients diagnosed before 19 years of age. The cohort included 226 patients, including 170 probands and 56 relatives. Symptomatic presentation was reported in 176 (78%). Symptom onset occurred at 10.8 (IQR 6.8–13.2) years with a delay to diagnosis of 0.5 (0–2.6) years. Syncope (p<0.001), cardiac arrest (p<0.001) and treatment failure (p=0.008) occurred more often in probands. Beta-blockers were prescribed in 205 of 211 patients (97%) on medication, and 25% experienced at least one treatment failure event. Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) were placed in 121 (54%) and was associated with electrical storm in 22 (18%). Flecainide was used in 24% and LCSD in 8%. Six deaths (3%) occurred during a cumulative follow-up of 788 patient-years. Conclusions This study demonstrates a malignant phenotype and lengthy delay to diagnosis in CPVT. Probands were typically severely affected. Beta-blockers were almost universally initiated; however, treatment failure, non-compliance and sub-therapeutic dosing were often reported. ICDs were common despite numerous device-related complications. Treatment failure was rare in the quarter of patients on flecainide. LCSD was not uncommon although the indication was variable.
Background-We evaluated the effects of the site of ventricular pacing on left ventricular (LV) synchrony and function in children requiring permanent pacing. Methods and Results-One hundred seventy-eight children (aged <18 years) from 21 centers with atrioventricular block and a structurally normal heart undergoing permanent pacing were studied cross-sectionally. Median age at evaluation was 11.2 (interquartile range, 6.3-15.0) years. Median pacing duration was 5.4 (interquartile range, 3.1-8.8) years. Pacing sites were the free wall of the right ventricular (RV) outflow tract (n=8), lateral RV (n=44), RV apex (n=61), RV septum (n=29), LV apex (n=12), LV midlateral wall (n=17), and LV base (n=7). LV synchrony, pump function, and contraction efficiency were significantly affected by pacing site and were superior in children paced at the LV apex/LV midlateral wall. LV dyssynchrony correlated inversely with LV ejection fraction (R=0.80, P=0.031). Pacing from the RV outflow tract/lateral RV predicted significantly decreased LV function (LV ejection fraction <45%; odds ratio, 10.72; confidence interval, 2.07-55.60; P=0.005), whereas LV apex/LV midlateral wall pacing was associated with preserved LV function (LV ejection fraction ≥55%; odds ratio, 8.26; confidence interval, 1.46-47.62; P=0.018). Presence of maternal autoantibodies, gender, age at implantation, duration of pacing, DDD mode, and QRS duration had no significant impact on LV ejection fraction. Conclusions-The site of ventricular pacing has a major impact on LV mechanical synchrony, efficiency, and pump function in children who require lifelong pacing. Of the sites studied, LV apex/LV midlateral wall pacing has the greatest potential to prevent pacing-induced reduction of cardiac pump function. (Circulation. 2013;127:613-623.)
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