Multi-fitting against several target files obtained at different growth stages gave better parameter accuracy than single fitting at maturity only, and permitted extracting generic organ expansion kinetics from the static observations. The 2000 model gave excellent predictions of plant architecture and vegetative growth for the other three seasons having different temperature regimes, but predictions of inter-seasonal variability of biomass partitioning during grain filling were less accurate. This was probably due to insufficient consideration of processes governing cob sink size and terminal leaf senescence. Further perspectives for model improvement are discussed.
Significance
Plants respond to environmental change by triggering biochemical and developmental networks across multiple scales. Multiscale models that link genetic input to the whole-plant scale and beyond might therefore improve biological understanding and yield prediction. We report a modular approach to build such models, validated by a framework model of
Arabidopsis thaliana
comprising four existing mathematical models. Our model brings together gene dynamics, carbon partitioning, organ growth, shoot architecture, and development in response to environmental signals. It predicted the biomass of each leaf in independent data, demonstrated flexible control of photosynthesis across photoperiods, and predicted the pleiotropic phenotype of a developmentally misregulated transgenic line. Systems biology, crop science, and ecology might thus be linked productively in a community-based approach to modeling.
Abstract. Functional-structural models provide detailed representations of tree growth and their application to forestry seems full of prospects. However, due to the complexity of tree architecture, parametric identification of such models remains a critical issue. We present the GreenLab approach for modeling tree growth. It simulates tree plasticity in response to changes of their internal level of trophic competition, especially regarding topological development and cambial growth. The model includes a simplified representation of tree architecture, based on a species-specific description of branching patterns. We study whether those simplifications allow enough flexibility to reproduce with the same set of parameters the growth of two observed understorey Beech trees (Fagus sylvatica, L.) of different ages and in different environmental conditions. The parametric identification of the model is global, i.e. all parameters are estimated simultaneously, potentially providing a better description of interactions between subprocesses. As a result, the source-sink dynamics throughout tree development is retrieved. Simulated and measured trees were compared for their trunk profiles (fresh masses and dimensions of every growth units, ring diameters at different heights) and for the compartment masses of their order 2 branches. Possible improvements of this method by including topological criteria are discussed.
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